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직접 공기 포집 시장 : 기술별, 제공 제품별, CO2 최종 용도별, 기능별, 최종 사용자별 - 시장 규모, 업계 역학, 기회 분석 및 예측(2026-2035년)

Global Direct Air Capture Market By Technology, Offering, CO2 End Use, Capacity, End User - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis and Forecast For 2026-2035

발행일: | 리서치사: 구분자 Astute Analytica | 페이지 정보: 영문 220 Pages | 배송안내 : 1-2일 (영업일 기준)

    
    
    



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세계의 직접 공기 포집 시장은 전 세계적인 탄소 제거 전략과 장기적인 탈탄소화 로드맵에서 그 역할이 확대되고 있음을 반영하여, 급속하고 혁신적인 성장을 이루고 있습니다. 2025년에는 시장 규모가 약 1억 6,080만 달러에 달할 것으로 추정되며, 아직 상용화의 초기 단계에 있지만 민관 양측의 참여를 통해 이미 큰 탄력을 얻고 있는 것으로 나타났습니다.

앞으로 직접 공기 포집 시장은 기하급수적인 성장을 거듭하여 2035년까지 약 86억 9,780만 달러에 달할 것으로 전망됩니다. 이러한 급격한 증가는 2026년부터 2035년까지의 예측 기간 동안 연평균 성장률(CAGR)이 약 55.8%에 달함을 보여주며, DAC는 광범위한 기후 기술 분야에서 가장 빠르게 성장하는 부문 중 하나로 자리매김하고 있습니다. 이러한 급속한 성장은 대규모 회수 시설의 도입 가속화, 기술 혁신에 따른 비용 효율성 향상, 그리고 탄소 저장 인프라 및 청정 에너지 시스템과의 통합 진전에 힘입어 이루어질 것으로 예측됩니다.

주목할 만한 시장 동향

현재, 직접 공기 포집 시장은 기술 혁신, 상업적 도입 및 대규모 산업 분야로의 적용을 주도하는 소수의 선구적인 기업들에 의해 형성되어 있습니다. 그 중에서도 Climeworks는 아이슬란드의 ‘Orca’ 및 ‘Mammoth’ 플랜트 등 세계에서 가장 유명한 DAC 시설 중 일부를 가동하는 데 성공했으며, 명실상부한 상업적 선두주자로 두각을 나타내고 있습니다.

Occidental Petroleum에 인수된 후 현재 1PointFive라는 이름으로 사업을 전개하고 있는 Carbon Engineering은 액체 용매 기반 기술을 통해 대규모 DAC 도입을 실현하는 데 있어 매우 중요한 역할을 하고 있습니다. Heirloom Carbon Technologies는 천연 석회석을 주요 탄소 포집 매체로 활용하는 참신한 접근 방식을 개발하며, 파괴적 혁신 기업으로 부상했습니다.

Global Thermostat은 독자적인 벌집형 세라믹 모놀리스 기술을 통해 타사와의 차별화를 꾀하고 있으며, 이 기술을 통해 표면적을 극대화함으로써 신속하고 효율적인 CO2 흡수를 실현하고 있습니다. Verdox는 선구적인 일렉트로스윙 흡착 기술을 통해 DAC 분야의 차세대 혁신 리더로서의 입지를 확고히 하고 있습니다.

주요 성장 촉진요인

세계 정부와 기업들이 장기 전략을 엄격한 탄소 감축 목표와 점점 더 긴밀하게 연계해 나가는 가운데, 탄소 중립 달성을 위한 노력은 직접 공기 포집 시장의 급속한 확장을 뒷받침하는 주요 원동력이 되고 있습니다. 현재 140개국 이상이 공식적인 탄소중립 목표를 수립했으며, 에너지 시스템, 산업 공정 및 탄소 관리 전략을 재구축하기 위한 강력한 세계 정책 체계가 형성되고 있습니다. 이러한 공약들은 더 이상 단순한 목표에 그치지 않고, 구속력 있는 규제 방안, 부문별 탈탄소화 의무, 그리고 향후 수십 년에 걸쳐 배출량을 대폭 감축하기 위한 측정 가능한 진전을 요구하는 체계적인 일정에 의해 점점 더 뒷받침되고 있습니다.

새로운 기회의 동향

첨단 디지털 모델링은 대기중 이산화탄소 직접 포집 시장의 향후 성장을 견인할 주요 동향으로 부상하고 있습니다. DAC 시스템이 점점 더 복잡해지고 대규모로 도입됨에 따라, 사업자들은 효율성 향상, 운영 비용 절감, 시스템 신뢰성 제고를 위해 첨단 계산 도구에 주목하고 있습니다. 인공지능(AI), 머신러닝 알고리즘, 디지털 트윈 기술의 통합을 통해 탄소 포집 시설의 설계, 모니터링 및 운영 라이프사이클 전반에 걸친 최적화에서 새로운 차원의 정확도가 실현되고 있습니다. 이러한 기술들은 DAC를 주로 정적인 산업 공정에서 변화하는 환경 및 에너지 조건에 동적으로 대응할 수 있는 적응성이 높고 데이터 중심의 시스템으로 변모시키고 있습니다.

최적화의 장애물

막대한 설비 투자(CapEx) 및 운영비(OpEx)에 대한 제약은 여전히 직접 공기 포집 시장의 성장을 저해할 수 있는 가장 심각한 장벽 중 하나입니다. 급속한 기술 발전과 탄소 제거에 대한 전 세계적인 정책 지원 확대에도 불구하고, 대규모 도입의 경제성은 광범위한 상용화를 위해 여전히 큰 과제로 남아 있습니다. DAC 시설에는 대규모 공기 흡입 시스템, 화학 처리 설비, 에너지 공급 통합 시스템, CO₂ 압축·저장 시설 등 전문적인 인프라에 대한 막대한 초기 투자가 필요합니다. 이러한 자본 집약적인 요건으로 인해 프로젝트 자금 조달이 복잡해지고 있으며, 특히 강력한 보조금 제도나 장기적인 구매 계약이 없는 지역에서는 신규 설비 도입 속도가 제한되고 있습니다.

목차

제1장 주요 요약 : 세계의 직접 공기 포집 시장

제2장 조사 방법 및 조사 프레임워크

제3장 세계의 직접 공기 포집 시장 개요

제4장 세계의 직접 공기 포집 시장 분석

제5장 세계의 직접 공기 포집 시장 분석

제6장 북미 시장 분석

제7장 유럽 시장 분석

제8장 아시아태평양 시장 분석

제9장 중동 및 아프리카 시장 분석

제10장 남미 시장 분석

제11장 기업 개요

제12장 부록

KTH 26.07.13

The global direct air capture (DAC) market is undergoing rapid and transformative expansion, reflecting its increasing role in global carbon removal strategies and long-term decarbonization pathways. In 2025, the market is estimated to be valued at approximately USD 160.8 million, indicating that it is still in an early commercialization phase but is already gaining significant momentum from both public and private sector engagement.

Looking ahead, the DAC market is projected to experience exponential growth, reaching an estimated USD 8,697.8 million by 2035. This dramatic increase reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 55.8% over the forecast period from 2026 to 2035, positioning DAC as one of the fastest-growing segments within the broader climate technology landscape. This rapid expansion is expected to be driven by accelerating deployment of large-scale capture facilities, improved cost efficiencies through technological innovation, and increasing integration with carbon storage infrastructure and clean energy systems.

Noteworthy Market Developments

The direct air capture (DAC) market is currently shaped by a concentrated group of pioneering companies that are driving technological innovation, commercial deployment, and large-scale industrial adoption. Among them, Climeworks stands out as the undisputed commercial leader, having successfully operationalized some of the world's most prominent DAC facilities, including the "Orca" and "Mammoth" plants in Iceland.

Carbon Engineering, now operating under 1PointFive following its acquisition by Occidental Petroleum, plays a critical role in enabling large-scale DAC deployment through its liquid-solvent-based technology. Heirloom Carbon Technologies has emerged as a disruptive innovator by developing a novel approach that utilizes naturally occurring limestone as the primary carbon capture medium.

Global Thermostat distinguishes itself through its proprietary honeycomb ceramic monolith technology, which maximizes surface area for rapid and efficient CO2 absorption. Verdox represents a next-generation innovation leader in the DAC sector with its pioneering electro-swing adsorption technology.

Core Growth Drivers

Net-zero commitments are a major driving force behind the rapid expansion of the direct air capture (DAC) market, as governments and corporations worldwide increasingly align their long-term strategies with stringent carbon reduction targets. More than 140 countries have now established formal net-zero emissions goals, creating a powerful global policy framework that is reshaping energy systems, industrial processes, and carbon management strategies. These commitments are no longer aspirational in nature; they are increasingly supported by binding regulatory pathways, sector-specific decarbonization mandates, and structured timelines that require measurable progress toward deep emissions reductions over the coming decades.

Emerging Opportunity Trends

Advanced digital modeling is emerging as a significant opportunity trend driving future growth in the direct air capture (DAC) market. As DAC systems become more complex and increasingly deployed at larger scales, operators are turning to advanced computational tools to improve efficiency, reduce operational costs, and enhance system reliability. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning algorithms, and digital twin technologies is enabling a new level of precision in how carbon capture facilities are designed, monitored, and optimized throughout their operational lifecycle. These technologies are transforming DAC from a largely static industrial process into a highly adaptive and data-driven system capable of responding dynamically to changing environmental and energy conditions.

Barriers to Optimization

High capital expenditure (CapEx) and operational expenditure (OpEx) constraints remain one of the most significant barriers that may hinder the growth of the direct air capture (DAC) market. Despite rapid technological progress and increasing global policy support for carbon removal, the economics of large-scale deployment continue to present a major challenge for widespread commercialization. DAC facilities require substantial upfront investment in specialized infrastructure, including large air contractor systems, chemical processing units, energy supply integration, and CO2 compression and storage facilities. These capital-intensive requirements make project financing complex and limit the speed at which new capacity can be deployed, particularly in regions without strong subsidy frameworks or long-term offtake agreements.

Detailed Market Segmentation

By technology, solid sorbent systems emerged as the leading segment within the direct air capture (DAC) market in 2025, supported by significant advancements in material science and process engineering. This dominance is largely attributed to rapid improvements in the performance, durability, and selectivity of solid sorbent materials, which have enhanced their ability to efficiently capture carbon dioxide directly from ambient air. Innovations in engineered sorbents, including advanced porous materials and functionalized polymers, have substantially increased capture efficiency while reducing degradation rates over repeated operational cycles.

By offering, the systems and equipment segment accounts for the highest revenue share within the direct air capture (DAC) market, underscoring the highly capital-intensive nature of scaling this technology to industrial levels. The development of DAC infrastructure requires extensive deployment of specialized hardware, including large-scale air contactors, advanced sorbent or solvent regeneration units, compression systems, heat exchangers, and CO2 purification and conditioning equipment. These components form the core physical backbone of capture facilities and represent the most significant portion of upfront project expenditures. As a result, equipment procurement naturally dominates the value chain compared to services or downstream operational offerings.

By CO2 end use, geological storage has firmly emerged as the dominant application segment within the direct air capture (DAC) market in 2025. This leadership is primarily driven by strong and coordinated legislative support across major economies, which has significantly influenced the economics of carbon management pathways. Governments have increasingly prioritized permanent carbon removal solutions as part of broader decarbonization strategies, positioning geological sequestration as the most credible long-term method for ensuring durable climate impact. As a result, large-scale DAC projects are being designed with a clear focus on subsurface storage as the primary destination for captured carbon dioxide.

By capacity, the transition to commercial-scale operations exceeding the megaton threshold has established clear and undisputed market dominance as of 2025. This milestone reflects a fundamental shift in the industry's maturity, moving away from early-stage pilot and demonstration projects toward fully developed, large-scale infrastructure assets. The ability to operate at megaton-level capacity signifies not only technological validation but also the emergence of standardized deployment models capable of supporting industrial-scale output. As a result, capacity expansion has become one of the most important indicators of market leadership and long-term viability within the sector.

Segment Breakdown

By Technology

  • Solid Sorbent
  • Liquid Solvent
  • Electrochemical / Emerging

By Offering

  • Systems & Equipment
  • Contactors
  • Regeneration Units
  • Capture-as-a-Service / Credits
  • Services

By CO2 End Use

  • Storage
  • Geological
  • Mineralization
  • Utilization
  • Fuels
  • Materials
  • Beverages

By Capacity

  • Pilot (<1 kt/yr)
  • Demonstration
  • Commercial (Megaton)

By End User

  • Energy & Oil/Gas
  • Net-Zero Corporates
  • Chemicals & Materials
  • Government

By Region

  • North America
  • The U.S.
  • Canada
  • Mexico
  • Europe
  • Western Europe
  • The UK
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Western Europe
  • Eastern Europe
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Rest of Eastern Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Australia & New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • ASEAN
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • UAE
  • Rest of MEA
  • South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Rest of South America

Geography Breakdown

  • North America firmly maintains the largest global market share in 2026, driven by a combination of strong policy support, advanced technological ecosystems, and substantial public and private investment in carbon removal and clean energy infrastructure. The region's dominance is anchored in a highly developed regulatory environment that actively incentivizes large-scale deployment of emerging climate technologies. In particular, the United States has implemented historically significant legislative frameworks that have fundamentally reshaped the economics of carbon capture and removal.
  • A central pillar of this leadership is the Inflation Reduction Act, which has introduced powerful financial incentives designed to accelerate decarbonization across multiple sectors. Among its most impactful provisions is the enhanced 45Q tax credit, which provides substantial financial support for carbon capture and permanent geological sequestration. With credits reaching up to approximately $180 per metric ton for securely stored carbon dioxide, the policy has dramatically improved the economic feasibility of direct air capture and related carbon removal technologies.

Leading Market Participants

  • Avnos, Inc.
  • Skytree
  • Climeworks
  • Global thermostat
  • Carbon Engineering ULC
  • Heirloom Carbon Technologies
  • Soletair Power
  • Noya PBC
  • RepAir
  • Other Prominent Players

Table of Content

Chapter 1. Executive Summary: Global Direct Air Capture Market

Chapter 2. Research Methodology & Research Framework

  • 2.1. Research Objective
  • 2.2. Product Overview
  • 2.3. Market Segmentation
  • 2.4. Qualitative Research
    • 2.4.1. Primary & Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Quantitative Research
    • 2.5.1. Primary & Secondary Sources
  • 2.6. Breakdown of Primary Research Respondents, By Region
  • 2.7. Assumption for Study
  • 2.8. Market Size Estimation
  • 2.9. Data Triangulation

Chapter 3. Global Direct Air Capture Market Overview

  • 3.1. Industry Value Chain Analysis
    • 3.1.1. Sorbent, Solvent & Advanced Materials Suppliers
    • 3.1.2. DAC System & Equipment (Contactor / Regeneration) Manufacturers
    • 3.1.3. Clean-Energy, Heat & Renewable-Power Providers
    • 3.1.4. Plant Developers, EPC & Capture-as-a-Service Operators
    • 3.1.5. CO2 Storage, Utilization & Carbon-Credit Offtakers (Corporates, Energy, Government)
  • 3.2. Industry Outlook
    • 3.2.1. Overview of the Global Direct Air Capture & Engineered Carbon-Removal Industry
    • 3.2.2. Corporate Offtake / Advance Market Commitments and Megaton-Scale Buildout
    • 3.2.3. Cost-Down Trajectory, Energy Intensity & 45Q / Policy-Driven Economics
  • 3.3. PESTLE Analysis
  • 3.4. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 3.4.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 3.4.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 3.4.3. Threat of Substitutes
    • 3.4.4. Threat of New Entrants
    • 3.4.5. Degree of Competition
  • 3.5. Market Growth and Outlook
    • 3.5.1. Market Revenue Estimates and Forecast (US$ Mn), 2020-2035
    • 3.5.2. Price Trend Analysis, By Technology

Chapter 4. Global Direct Air Capture Market Analysis

  • 4.1. Competition Dashboard
    • 4.1.1. Market Concentration Rate
    • 4.1.2. Company Market Share Analysis (Value %), 2025
    • 4.1.3. Competitor Mapping & Benchmarking

Chapter 5. Global Direct Air Capture Market Analysis

  • 5.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 5.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 5.1.2. Restraints
    • 5.1.3. Opportunity
    • 5.1.4. Key Trends
  • 5.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 5.2.1. By Technology
      • 5.2.1.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.1.1.1. Solid Sorbent
        • 5.2.1.1.2. Liquid Solvent
        • 5.2.1.1.3. Electrochemical / Emerging
    • 5.2.2. By Offering
      • 5.2.2.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.2.1.1. Systems & Equipment
          • 5.2.2.1.1.1. Contactors
          • 5.2.2.1.1.2. Regeneration Units
        • 5.2.2.1.2. Capture-as-a-Service / Credits
        • 5.2.2.1.3. Services
    • 5.2.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 5.2.3.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.3.1.1. Storage
          • 5.2.3.1.1.1. Geological
          • 5.2.3.1.1.2. Mineralization
        • 5.2.3.1.2. Utilization
          • 5.2.3.1.2.1. Fuels
          • 5.2.3.1.2.2. Materials
          • 5.2.3.1.2.3. Beverages
    • 5.2.4. By Capacity
      • 5.2.4.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.4.1.1. Pilot (<1 kt/yr)
        • 5.2.4.1.2. Demonstration
        • 5.2.4.1.3. Commercial (Megaton)
    • 5.2.5. By End User
      • 5.2.5.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.5.1.1. Energy & Oil/Gas
        • 5.2.5.1.2. Net-Zero Corporates
        • 5.2.5.1.3. Chemicals & Materials
        • 5.2.5.1.4. Government
    • 5.2.6. By Region
      • 5.2.6.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.6.1.1. North America
          • 5.2.6.1.1.1. The U.S.
          • 5.2.6.1.1.2. Canada
          • 5.2.6.1.1.3. Mexico
        • 5.2.6.1.2. Europe
          • 5.2.6.1.2.1. Western Europe
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.1. The UK
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.2. Germany
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.3. France
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.4. Italy
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.5. Spain
            • 5.2.6.1.2.1.6. Rest of Western Europe
          • 5.2.6.1.2.2. Eastern Europe
            • 5.2.6.1.2.2.1. Poland
            • 5.2.6.1.2.2.2. Russia
            • 5.2.6.1.2.2.3. Rest of Eastern Europe
        • 5.2.6.1.3. Asia Pacific
          • 5.2.6.1.3.1. China
          • 5.2.6.1.3.2. India
          • 5.2.6.1.3.3. Japan
          • 5.2.6.1.3.4. Australia & New Zealand
          • 5.2.6.1.3.5. South Korea
          • 5.2.6.1.3.6. ASEAN
          • 5.2.6.1.3.7. Rest of Asia Pacific
        • 5.2.6.1.4. Middle East & Africa (MEA)
          • 5.2.6.1.4.1. Saudi Arabia
          • 5.2.6.1.4.2. South Africa
          • 5.2.6.1.4.3. UAE
          • 5.2.6.1.4.4. Rest of MEA
        • 5.2.6.1.5. South America
          • 5.2.6.1.5.1. Argentina
          • 5.2.6.1.5.2. Brazil
          • 5.2.6.1.5.3. Rest of South America

Chapter 6. North America Market Analysis

  • 6.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 6.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 6.1.2. Restraints
    • 6.1.3. Opportunity
    • 6.1.4. Key Trends
  • 6.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 6.2.1. Key Insights
      • 6.2.1.1. By Technology
      • 6.2.1.2. By Offering
      • 6.2.1.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 6.2.1.4. By Capacity
      • 6.2.1.5. By End User
      • 6.2.1.6. By Country

Chapter 7. Europe Market Analysis

  • 7.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 7.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 7.1.2. Restraints
    • 7.1.3. Opportunity
    • 7.1.4. Key Trends
  • 7.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 7.2.1. Key Insights
      • 7.2.1.1. By Technology
      • 7.2.1.2. By Offering
      • 7.2.1.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 7.2.1.4. By Capacity
      • 7.2.1.5. By End User
      • 7.2.1.6. By Country

Chapter 8. Asia Pacific Market Analysis

  • 8.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 8.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 8.1.2. Restraints
    • 8.1.3. Opportunity
    • 8.1.4. Key Trends
  • 8.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 8.2.1. Key Insights
      • 8.2.1.1. By Technology
      • 8.2.1.2. By Offering
      • 8.2.1.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 8.2.1.4. By Capacity
      • 8.2.1.5. By End User
      • 8.2.1.6. By Country

Chapter 9. Middle East & Africa Market Analysis

  • 9.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 9.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 9.1.2. Restraints
    • 9.1.3. Opportunity
    • 9.1.4. Key Trends
  • 9.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 9.2.1. Key Insights
      • 9.2.1.1. By Technology
      • 9.2.1.2. By Offering
      • 9.2.1.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 9.2.1.4. By Capacity
      • 9.2.1.5. By End User
      • 9.2.1.6. By Country

Chapter 10. South America Market Analysis

  • 10.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 10.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 10.1.2. Restraints
    • 10.1.3. Opportunity
    • 10.1.4. Key Trends
  • 10.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 10.2.1. Key Insights
      • 10.2.1.1. By Technology
      • 10.2.1.2. By Offering
      • 10.2.1.3. By CO2 End Use
      • 10.2.1.4. By Capacity
      • 10.2.1.5. By End User
      • 10.2.1.6. By Country

Chapter 11. Company Profile (Company Overview, Financial Matrix, Key Product landscape, Key Personnel, Key Competitors, Contact Address, and Business Strategy Outlook)

  • 11.1. Avnos, Inc.
  • 11.2. Skytree
  • 11.3. Climeworks
  • 11.4. Global thermostat
  • 11.5. Carbon Engineering ULC
  • 11.6. Heirloom Carbon Technologies
  • 11.7. Soletair Power
  • 11.8. Noya PBC
  • 11.9. RepAir
  • 11.10. Other Prominent Players

Chapter 12. Annexure

  • 12.1. List of Secondary Sources
  • 12.2. Key Country Markets- Macro Economic Outlook/Indicators
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