세계의 배회 폭탄 시장 : 기회, 성장 촉진요인, 산업 동향 분석, 예측(2025-2034년)

The Global Loitering Munition Market was valued at USD 542.9 million and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% to reach USD 1.2 billion by 2034. This rise is largely fueled by the increasing preference for cost-effective, high-efficiency solutions over conventional weapon systems. As countries worldwide pursue military modernization, loitering munitions stand out as an appealing alternative. Their affordability, operational flexibility, and ability to strike with precision make them an attractive investment for nations seeking advanced capabilities without incurring the heavy costs associated with traditional missile systems.

These systems are designed to be compact and lightweight, ensuring quick deployment and seamless mobility in dynamic operational environments. This tactical agility enhances responsiveness, allowing forces to engage in sudden threats effectively. The growing adoption of loitering munitions is also linked to their utility in enhancing battlefield awareness, providing real-time reconnaissance, and enabling accurate targeting of time-sensitive objectives. Their maneuverability and ease of control provide militaries with a strategic advantage in modern combat scenarios where adaptability is crucial. Governments and defense agencies globally are aligning their modernization goals with such innovations, positioning loitering munitions as central elements of future warfare strategies.

Major world powers are increasingly focused on incorporating loitering munition systems into contemporary defense frameworks. These unmanned systems are becoming essential tools for reconnaissance, surveillance, and precision engagement. Innovations in platform integration and tactical applications continue to expand their role within joint force operations. Many defense projects now include loitering munitions as core components of broader unmanned teaming initiatives, reflecting a global shift in military doctrine.

The loitering munition market is segmented by platform type into rotary-wing, fixed-wing, and hybrid (VTOL) systems. In 2024, the fixed-wing category holds the largest market share at 66.3%, valued at USD 360.1 million. This segment is growing at a CAGR of 8.9%. Fixed-wing systems are favored for their extended range and endurance, which are crucial for strategic missions requiring long loiter times and high-altitude operations. At the same time, hybrid (VTOL) platforms are emerging as the fastest-growing segment, expanding at a CAGR of 12.6% through 2034. Their ability to combine vertical takeoff with fixed-wing flight offers unmatched versatility, making them ideal for environments requiring both agility and reach.

In terms of operational range, the market is classified into short-range (up to 50 km), medium-range (50-200 km), and long-range (over 200 km) systems. The medium-range segment leads the market with a 46.3% share and is valued at USD 251.4 million in 2024. It is set to grow at a CAGR of 8.8%. These systems strike a balance between cost, capability, and range, making them suitable for a wide variety of tactical scenarios. Meanwhile, the short-range segment is the fastest-growing, with a projected CAGR of 10.1%, owing to its suitability for rapid-response missions and its ease of deployment in mobile operations.

By end-user, the market is divided into military and homeland security segments. The military sector dominates the landscape with a massive 92.9% market share and a valuation of USD 504.5 million in 2024. It is also the fastest-growing segment, advancing at a CAGR of 9.2%. Military forces are increasingly relying on loitering munitions to enhance their operational efficiency, reduce risks to personnel, and achieve pinpoint accuracy in targeting. Defense programs across the globe are being restructured to include larger inventories of unmanned loitering systems, underscoring their growing strategic importance.

Regionally, the market spans North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. North America leads the global market with over 34.2% of the total share, reaching USD 151.9 million in 2024 and growing at a steady CAGR of 8.5%. Europe is the fastest-growing region, forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.3%, driven by increased investments in defense capabilities and the rise of next-generation warfare systems.

Key players driving innovation and competition in the loitering munition space include AeroVironment, Inc., Israel Aerospace Industries, BAYKAR TECH, and STM Defense Technologies Engineering and Trading Inc. The market remains moderately concentrated, with a few leading firms holding significant market share while facing ongoing competition due to the strategic importance and rapid evolution of loitering munition technologies.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology and scope

• 1.1 Market scope and Definitions
• 1.2 Research design
  • 1.2.1 Research approach
  • 1.2.2 Data collection methods
• 1.3 Base estimates and calculations
  • 1.3.1 Base year calculation
  • 1.3.2 Key trends for market estimation
• 1.4 Forecast model
• 1.5 Primary research and validation
  • 1.5.1 Primary sources
  • 1.5.2 Data mining sources

Chapter 2 Executive summary

• 2.1 Industry 360⁰ synopsis

Chapter 3 Industry insights

• 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
• 3.2 Trump administration tariffs analysis
  • 3.2.1 Impact on trade
    • 3.2.1.1 Trade volume disruptions
    • 3.2.1.2 Retaliatory measures
  • 3.2.2 Impact on the industry
    • 3.2.2.1 Supply-side impact (key components)
      • 3.2.2.1.1 Price volatility in key materials
      • 3.2.2.1.2 Supply chain restructuring
      • 3.2.2.1.3 Production cost implications
    • 3.2.2.2 Demand-side impact (selling price)
      • 3.2.2.2.1 Price transmission to end markets
      • 3.2.2.2.2 Market share dynamics
      • 3.2.2.2.3 Consumer response patterns
  • 3.2.3 Key companies impacted
  • 3.2.4 Strategic industry responses
    • 3.2.4.1 Supply chain reconfiguration
    • 3.2.4.2 Pricing and product strategies
    • 3.2.4.3 Policy engagement
  • 3.2.5 Outlook and future considerations
• 3.3 Industry impact forces
  • 3.3.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.3.1.1 Cost-effectiveness
    • 3.3.1.2 Rapid deployment and mobility
    • 3.3.1.3 Precision strike capabilities
    • 3.3.1.4 Versatility across combat scenarios
    • 3.3.1.5 Global defense modernization initiatives
  • 3.3.2 Pitfalls and challenges
    • 3.3.2.1 Export controls and proliferation risks
    • 3.3.2.2 High initial development and acquisition costs
• 3.4 Growth potential analysis
• 3.5 Regulatory landscape
• 3.6 Technology landscape
• 3.7 Future market trends
• 3.8 Gap analysis
• 3.9 Porter's analysis
• 3.10 Pestel analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Company market share analysis
• 4.3 Competitive analysis of major market players
• 4.4 Competitive positioning matrix
• 4.5 Strategy dashboard

Chapter 5 Market estimates and forecast, By Loitering Platform Type, 2021 - 2034 (USD million & units)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Fixed-wing
• 5.3 Rotary-wing
• 5.4 Hybrid (VTOL)

Chapter 6 Market estimates and forecast, By Range, 2021 - 2034 (USD million & units)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Short-range < 50 km
• 6.3 Medium-range 50–200 km
• 6.4 Long-range > 200 km

Chapter 7 Market estimates and forecast, By End Use, 2021 - 2034 (USD million & units)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 Military
• 7.3 Homeland security

Chapter 8 Market estimates and forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 (USD million & units)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 North America
  • 8.2.1 U.S.
  • 8.2.2 Canada
• 8.3 Europe
  • 8.3.1 Germany
  • 8.3.2 Uk
  • 8.3.3 France
  • 8.3.4 Spain
  • 8.3.5 Italy
  • 8.3.6 Netherlands
• 8.4 Asia Pacific
  • 8.4.1 China
  • 8.4.2 India
  • 8.4.3 Japan
  • 8.4.4 Australia
  • 8.4.5 South Korea
• 8.5 Latin America
  • 8.5.1 Brazil
  • 8.5.2 Mexico
  • 8.5.3 Argentina
• 8.6 Middle East and Africa
  • 8.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 8.6.2 South Africa
  • 8.6.3 UAE

Chapter 9 Company profiles

• 9.1 Aeronautics
• 9.2 AeroVironment, Inc.
• 9.3 AEVEX Aerospace
• 9.4 BAYKAR TECH
• 9.5 EDGE Group PJSC
• 9.6 Elbit Systems Ltd.
• 9.7 Israel Aerospace Industries
• 9.8 Kadet Defence Systems
• 9.9 Rheinmetall AG
• 9.10 ROKETSAN
• 9.11 Spear
• 9.12 STM Defense Technologies Engineering and Trading Inc.
• 9.13 Stratign
• 9.14 Thales
• 9.15 Uvision
• 9.16 WB Group
• 9.17 ZALA