세계의 유기농 베이커리 제품 시장 : 기회, 성장 촉진요인, 업계 동향 분석, 예측(2025-2034년)

The Global Organic Bakery Products Market was valued at USD 74.3 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 5.6% to reach USD 128.2 billion by 2034. This upward trend is largely attributed to evolving consumer preferences, with more individuals embracing natural, chemical-free food alternatives. The organic bakery space has seen consistent growth, driven by increased consumer consciousness around health, wellness, and food safety. Early growth stages were marked by limited choices and relatively high prices, but that dynamic has changed with the expansion of product portfolios, rising disposable incomes, and greater acceptance of organic products in mainstream diets.

Consumers are becoming more aware of organic certifications and global food quality standards, especially in urbanized regions across both developed and emerging economies. This change in perception has created a demand for cleaner labels and transparent sourcing, prompting more brands to diversify their offerings and align with the demand for wholesome, naturally derived baked goods. The rise in spending power, especially among health-oriented populations, has further fueled this segment's growth trajectory. As more people actively seek out food free from synthetic additives, preservatives, and genetically modified ingredients, the demand for organic bakery products continues to strengthen across all age groups and lifestyles. Companies are also refining their strategies to enhance the appeal of these products by promoting their nutritional value, shelf life, and sustainable packaging.

In terms of product types, the bread and rolls segment accounted for USD 25.4 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.5% from 2025 to 2034. This segment leads in market share due to its role as a dietary staple consumed regularly by various demographic groups. The appeal of organic bread and rolls lies in their absence of synthetic additives, bleached flour, or artificial ingredients, making them more attractive to health-focused consumers. Their inclusion in everyday meals ensures continuous demand throughout the year, which is less influenced by seasonal trends or fads. These factors contribute significantly to the segment's consistent revenue performance and its dominance in the organic bakery space.

The organic flour ingredient segment held a value of USD 18.1 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to register a CAGR of 5.5% between 2025 and 2034, accounting for a 24.2% market share. Organic flour is an essential component in baked goods, valued for its contribution to both product structure and nutritional profile. Its rising demand stems from a broader shift toward unprocessed and natural ingredients. Many consumers now look for baking ingredients that are non-GMO and offer added benefits such as fiber or ancient grain content. The interest in whole grains and less common flours, including heritage grain options, is transforming product development strategies. However, managing ingredient quality and cost remains a challenge due to supply chain limitations, especially with specialty grain varieties. Nevertheless, the growing interest in better-for-you alternatives is keeping the demand for organic flour on a steady incline.

In the regional landscape, the United States represented a significant portion of the global market, reaching a valuation of USD 20.2 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.9% through 2034. The U.S. market is seeing robust growth due to increasing consumer preference for clean-label and preservative-free baked items. An expanding health-conscious population is reshaping food choices and creating opportunities for organic alternatives. Greater retail visibility, alongside the rise of specialty organic bakeries and digital sales platforms, has improved access to these products across the country. In addition to consumer interest, a well-established framework for organic farming and strong enforcement of food safety regulations ensure reliable ingredient sourcing and support the industry's capacity to meet rising demand efficiently. Federal programs and incentives that promote organic certification and sustainable agriculture further bolster consumer trust and encourage participation in the organic marketplace.

Key players shaping the competitive environment of the organic bakery products market are focusing on product differentiation, clean-label innovation, and sustainable packaging practices. The major firms in this landscape are working to address consumer expectations for allergen-free, nutrient-dense, and organic-certified items. As demand for plant-based and eco-conscious options increases, many companies are adopting strategies that prioritize transparency and functional nutrition. Those with extensive retail and digital distribution networks tend to face less competitive pressure due to their broader market reach. As branding and health claims continue to influence consumer loyalty, success in this market hinges on delivering high-quality offerings that balance premium pricing with perceived value.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

• 1.1 Research methodology
  • 1.1.1 Objective and scope
  • 1.1.2 Information procurement
  • 1.1.3 Primary research
  • 1.1.4 Secondary research
  • 1.1.5 Data analysis and triangulation
• 1.2 Market definition and segmentation
• 1.3 Forecast methodology
• 1.4 Research assumptions and limitations
• 1.5 List of data sources

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

• 2.1 Market snapshot
• 2.2 Global organic bakery products market highlights
• 2.3 Market dynamics overview
• 2.4 Regional insights
• 2.5 Segmental analysis
• 2.6 Competitive landscape summary
• 2.7 Future market outlook

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

• 3.1 Market introduction
• 3.2 Industry value chain analysis
  • 3.2.1 Raw material sourcing and procurement
  • 3.2.2 Organic ingredient processing
  • 3.2.3 Manufacturing and production
  • 3.2.4 Packaging and labeling
  • 3.2.5 Distribution and retail
• 3.3 Technology landscape
  • 3.3.1 Traditional vs. Modern baking technologies
  • 3.3.2 Automation and robotics in organic bakery production
  • 3.3.3 Biotechnology applications
  • 3.3.4 Packaging innovations
  • 3.3.5 Digital technologies and IOT integration
• 3.4 Trump administration tariffs
  • 3.4.1 Impact on trade
    • 3.4.1.1 Trade volume disruptions
    • 3.4.1.2 Retaliatory measures
  • 3.4.2 Impact on the industry
    • 3.4.2.1 Supply-side impact (raw materials)
      • 3.4.2.1.1 Price volatility in key materials
      • 3.4.2.1.2 Supply chain restructuring
      • 3.4.2.1.3 Production cost implications
  • 3.4.3 Demand-side impact (selling price)
    • 3.4.3.1 Price transmission to end markets
    • 3.4.3.2 Market share dynamics
    • 3.4.3.3 Consumer response patterns
  • 3.4.4 Key companies impacted
  • 3.4.5 Strategic industry responses
    • 3.4.5.1 Supply chain reconfiguration
    • 3.4.5.2 Pricing and product strategies
    • 3.4.5.3 Policy engagement
  • 3.4.6 Outlook and future considerations
• 3.5 Trade statistics (HS code)
  • 3.5.1 Major exporting countries, 2021-2024 (kilo tons)
  • 3.5.2 Major importing countries, 2021-2024 (kilo tons)
• 3.6 Supplier landscape
• 3.7 Profit margin analysis
• 3.8 Key news & initiatives
• 3.9 Regulatory landscape
  • 3.9.1 Global organic certification standards
  • 3.9.2 Regional regulatory landscape
  • 3.9.3 Labeling requirements
  • 3.9.4 Food safety regulations
  • 3.9.5 Impact of regulations on market growth
• 3.10 Impact forces
  • 3.10.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.10.1.1 Rising consumer demand for clean-label and chemical-free food products
    • 3.10.1.2 Increasing health awareness and focusing on lifestyle-related disease prevention
    • 3.10.1.3 Expansion of organic food retail channels, including e-commerce
    • 3.10.1.4 Government support for organic farming and certification programs
  • 3.10.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
    • 3.10.2.1 Higher production and retail costs compared to conventional bakery products
    • 3.10.2.2 Limited shelf life and supply chain complexities due to preservative-free formulations
• 3.11 Consumer behavior analysis
  • 3.11.1 Consumer demographics
  • 3.11.2 Purchase patterns
  • 3.11.3 Preference factors
  • 3.11.4 Willingness to pay premium
  • 3.11.5 Consumer perception of organic products
• 3.12 Sustainability and environmental aspects
  • 3.12.1 Sustainable sourcing practices
  • 3.12.2 Waste reduction strategies
  • 3.12.3 Energy efficiency in production
  • 3.12.4 Eco-friendly packaging initiatives
  • 3.12.5 Carbon footprint considerations
• 3.13 Growth potential analysis
• 3.14 Porter's analysis
• 3.15 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Market share analysis
• 4.2 Key strategies adopted by major players
  • 4.2.1 Mergers and acquisitions
  • 4.2.2 Partnerships and collaborations
  • 4.2.3 Product launches and innovations
  • 4.2.4 Expansion initiatives
• 4.3 Competitive benchmarking
• 4.4 Strategic positioning matrix
• 4.5 Competitive dashboard
• 4.6 Emerging players analysis
• 4.7 Investment analysis and funding scenario

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Product Type, 2021-2034 (USD Billion) (Kilo Tons)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Bread & rolls
  • 5.2.1 Whole grain bread
  • 5.2.2 Multigrain bread
  • 5.2.3 Sourdough bread
  • 5.2.4 Other bread & rolls
• 5.3 Cakes & pastries
  • 5.3.1 Organic cakes
  • 5.3.2 Organic pastries
  • 5.3.3 Other cakes & pastries
• 5.4 Cookies & biscuits
  • 5.4.1 Organic cookies
  • 5.4.2 Organic biscuits
  • 5.4.3 Other cookies & biscuits
• 5.5 Savory snacks
  • 5.5.1 Organic crackers
  • 5.5.2 Organic pretzels
  • 5.5.3 Other savory snacks
• 5.6 Others

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Ingredient Type, 2021-2034 (USD Billion) (Kilo Tons)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Organic flour
  • 6.2.1 Wheat flour
  • 6.2.2 Ancient grain flour
  • 6.2.3 Gluten-free flour
  • 6.2.4 Other organic flours
• 6.3 Organic sweeteners
  • 6.3.1 Organic sugar
  • 6.3.2 Organic honey
  • 6.3.3 Other organic sweeteners
• 6.4 Organic fats & oils
  • 6.4.1 Organic butter
  • 6.4.2 Organic vegetable oils
  • 6.4.3 Other organic fats & oils
• 6.5 Organic eggs & dairy
• 6.6 Organic leavening agents
• 6.7 Other organic ingredients

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Category, 2021-2034 (USD Billion) (Kilo Tons)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 Conventional organic
• 7.3 Gluten-free organic
• 7.4 Sugar-free organic
• 7.5 Low-calorie organic
• 7.6 Fortified organic

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Distribution Channel, 2021-2034 (USD Billion) (Kilo Tons)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 Supermarkets & hypermarkets
• 8.3 Specialty stores
• 8.4 Convenience stores
• 8.5 Online retail
• 8.6 Bakery outlets
• 8.7 Others

Chapter 9 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021-2034 (USD Billion) (Kilo Tons)

• 9.1 Key trends
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 U.S.
  • 9.2.2 Canada
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 UK
  • 9.3.2 Germany
  • 9.3.3 France
  • 9.3.4 Italy
  • 9.3.5 Spain
  • 9.3.6 Netherlands
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 China
  • 9.4.2 India
  • 9.4.3 Japan
  • 9.4.4 South Korea
  • 9.4.5 Australia
• 9.5 Latin America
  • 9.5.1 Brazil
  • 9.5.2 Mexico
  • 9.5.3 Argentina
• 9.6 MEA
  • 9.6.1 South Africa
  • 9.6.2 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.3 UAE

Chapter 10 Company Profiles

• 10.1 Alvarado Street Bakery
• 10.2 Aryzta AG
• 10.3 Associated British Foods plc
• 10.4 Britannia Industries Ltd.
• 10.5 Campbell Soup Company (Pepperidge Farm)
• 10.6 Cargill, Inc.
• 10.7 Dave's Killer Bread (Flowers Foods)
• 10.8 Finsbury Food Group
• 10.9 Fazer Group
• 10.10 Flowers Foods, Inc.
• 10.11 General Mills, Inc.
• 10.12 Grupo Bimbo S.A.B. de C.V.
• 10.13 Kellogg Company
• 10.14 La Lorraine Bakery Group
• 10.15 Lantmännen Unibake
• 10.16 Manna Organics, LLC
• 10.17 Mestemacher GmbH
• 10.18 Mondelez International, Inc.
• 10.19 Nature's Bakery
• 10.20 New Horizon Foods
• 10.21 Nutri-Bake Inc.
• 10.22 Rudi&'s Organic Bakery
• 10.23 Soyfoods
• 10.24 The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.
• 10.25 Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd.