세계의 항공 연료 시장 예측 : 연료 유형, 항공기 유형, 연료 형태, 최종 사용자별(2025-2030년)

The Aviation Fuel Market was valued at USD 251.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 269.00 billion in 2025, with a CAGR of 7.16%, reaching USD 380.93 billion by 2030.

A strategic orientation to aviation fuel fundamentals, supply chain realities, and the operational and sustainability tensions shaping industry decision-making today

The aviation fuel landscape sits at the intersection of long-standing operational requirements and accelerating environmental, geopolitical and supply-side pressures. Operators, fuel producers and regulators are navigating a transition that requires balancing reliability, safety and cost-efficiency with imperatives to decarbonize and to adapt to shifting trade policies and feedstock availability. In this context, a clear-eyed introduction establishes the baseline terminology, the principal stakeholders across refining, distribution and flight operations, and the levers that influence procurement and deployment decisions.

Over the past several years, technological advances in sustainable aviation fuels, evolving blending pathways and evolving regulatory expectations have reshaped strategic priorities across commercial, military and general aviation segments. Supply chain complexity remains a defining theme: crude feedstock variability, refinery throughput constraints and logistics bottlenecks influence fuel deliverability and quality assurance protocols. Understanding these dynamics is essential because they drive near-term procurement choices and longer-term investments in alternative fuels, storage, and handling infrastructure. The remainder of this summary sets out the most consequential shifts, the policy and trade implications that are crystallizing in 2025, and the segmentation and regional lenses that will determine where value and risk concentrate for industry leaders.

Converging technological, regulatory and geopolitical forces are reshaping aviation fuel supply, certification pathways, and procurement strategies for rapid industry adaptation

The aviation fuel landscape is undergoing transformative shifts that combine technological maturation, regulatory ambition and altered geopolitical dynamics. Sustainable aviation fuels have moved from pilot projects to commercial-scale pathways, driven by policy incentives, corporate decarbonization commitments and growing airline offtake agreements. Improvements in feedstock processing, certification pathways for drop-in fuels and increased capital investment in SAF production capacity are reducing technical barriers to adoption, while blending protocols and logistical integration continue to evolve.

Meanwhile, regulatory frameworks are aligning more tightly with climate targets, prompting carriers and fuel suppliers to reassess procurement, reporting and lifecycle accounting. Trade measures and tariff adjustments are influencing sourcing strategies, pushing some buyers to shorten supply chains or to diversify feedstocks. In parallel, digitalization in logistics and quality control is improving forecasting and inventory management, enabling more responsive fuel routing and tank farm operations. Together, these shifts are compressing time horizons for strategic decisions: operational teams must reconcile short-term fuel availability and quality with longer-term commitments to sustainable pathways, and enterprises that integrate procurement, sustainability and supply-chain analytics will gain competitive advantage.

How cumulative tariff changes in the United States through 2025 are reshaping procurement economics, supply chain resilience, and investment priorities in aviation fuel distribution

The cumulative effect of United States tariff measures enacted or adjusted through 2025 has altered cost structures and supply chain decisions across the aviation fuel ecosystem without necessarily changing the technical fundamentals of fuel production. Tariff layers on refined products and key intermediates have incentivized some refiners and distributors to re-evaluate cross-border procurement and to accelerate domestic or near-shore sourcing strategies. Those adjustments manifest in longer-term contracting patterns and in increased emphasis on securing stable feedstock streams that are less exposed to tariff volatility.

For fuel consumers and integrators, tariffs have raised the importance of contractual flexibility, with more parties seeking clauses that allow for alternate suppliers or price pass-through mechanisms. In response, some suppliers are reconfiguring logistics to consolidate loads, reduce transshipment points and prioritize routes that minimize tariff exposure. The policy environment has also increased the attractiveness of upstream investments that reduce reliance on imported intermediates, including co-processing and refinery upgrades to handle a broader spectrum of feedstocks. Importantly, tariffs have accelerated discussions about domestic SAF capacity development because locally produced sustainable fuels can mitigate trade friction and offer clearer compliance pathways under incentive programs. From a risk perspective, the combined effect of tariffs and associated trade policy shifts has elevated supply chain resilience as a primary driver of procurement and capital allocation decisions across both private and public sector stakeholders.

Segment-driven perspectives on aviation fuel that connect fuel grades, aircraft operations, fuel forms and diverse end-user profiles to actionable supply and deployment choices

Segmentation provides a practical lens for translating macro trends into operational actions across fuel portfolios and customer bases. Based on fuel type, the industry is differentiated between Conventional Fuel and Sustainable Fuel, and the conventional category itself comprises several refined products including Avgas, Jet A, Jet A-1 and Jet B, each with distinct handling, storage and specification requirements that influence distribution networks and refueling operations. These distinctions matter because end users and operators must manage multiple fuel grades across diverse operational profiles, and blending strategies often differ by fuel family.

Based on aircraft type, the market divides between fixed wing and rotary wing platforms, with fixed wing operations dominating long-haul and scheduled passenger activity while rotary wing activity is characterized by shorter sorties, varied operating environments and different fuel handling constraints. These operational differences affect runway-side storage sizing, refueling turnaround expectations and quality control protocols. Based on fuel form, industry stakeholders work with blended fuels, gas phase fuels and liquid fuels, each presenting unique blending, metering and compatibility considerations for existing fleets and fueling infrastructure. Finally, based on end-user, the landscape spans commercial carriers, government and public sector operators, military users and private operators, and each class has different procurement cycles, regulatory obligations and risk tolerances. By viewing trends through these segmentation lenses, leaders can better align supply contracts, investment in storage and blending facilities, and certification efforts to the specific needs of the customers they serve.

Regional dynamics and infrastructure realities across the Americas, Europe Middle East & Africa, and Asia-Pacific that determine supply strategies and competitive positioning

Geography shapes both the operational realities and the strategic opportunities for aviation fuel stakeholders. In the Americas, established refinery infrastructure and strong airline commitments to sustainable aviation fuels have created a dynamic environment for feedstock innovation and regional supply-chain optimization, while trade policy and domestic incentives continue to shape the pace of SAF adoption and localized production investment. North-South supply linkages and inland logistics challenges also influence how refiners and distributors design storage hubs and pipeline connectivity.

Across Europe, Middle East & Africa, regulatory ambition and national decarbonization targets are prompting a patchwork of policy responses that affect certification, incentives and cross-border trade in fuels. Europe's coordinated sustainability frameworks and carbon pricing mechanisms tend to accelerate uptake of low-carbon pathways, whereas in parts of the Middle East and Africa, abundant feedstock potential and refining capacity create both export opportunities and local integration challenges. In the Asia-Pacific region, rapidly growing aviation demand intersects with diverse policy regimes and varying levels of refining sophistication; this region is a focal point for scaling SAF production through feedstock partnerships and for investments in bunkering and airport fueling innovations. Taken together, these regional dynamics mean that strategic sourcing, investment timing and partnership models must be tailored to local regulatory regimes, infrastructure maturity and the specific operational needs of carriers and government operators.

Insights into competitive positioning, partnership models and operational capabilities that define leadership in aviation fuel production, distribution and sustainable fuel development

Competitive dynamics in aviation fuel are shaped by an ecosystem that combines legacy refiners, integrated energy companies, specialized SAF producers, logistics providers and airport fueling operators. Leading companies are investing selectively in SAF capacity, developing offtake arrangements with airlines and forming consortiums to de-risk capital-intensive projects. Partnerships between feedstock suppliers and producers, as well as between airlines and fuel offtakers, are increasingly common because they secure volumes, share technological risk and align incentives across the value chain.

At the operational level, firms that excel in quality assurance, blending precision and logistics optimization deliver measurable advantages in availability and reliability. Meanwhile, downstream players are differentiating through services: flexible delivery contracts, on-site blending capability and digital platforms that improve fuel inventory visibility and forecasting. In regulatory and policy engagements, firms that participate in standard-setting and certification initiatives influence the pace and shape of SPI pathways and blending mandates. Overall, the competitive landscape rewards integrated approaches that combine technical capability, supply-chain resilience and an ability to form pragmatic partnerships with airlines, governments and downstream distributors.

Actionable recommendations for executives to balance supply resilience, infrastructure readiness and strategic investments in sustainable aviation fuel scale-up

Industry leaders should adopt a dual-track strategy that balances near-term operational resilience with deliberate investment in sustainable pathways. First, strengthen supply-chain resilience by diversifying feedstock sources, enhancing storage flexibility at key airport hubs and incorporating contractual clauses that allow adaptive sourcing in response to tariff or trade shifts. Second, accelerate integration with SAF producers through offtake agreements, joint ventures or equity participation to secure access to low-carbon volumes and to qualify for incentive programs and compliance mechanisms.

Operationally, invest in digital tools that enhance inventory visibility, blending controls and quality assurance checkpoints so that teams can respond quickly to disruptions and maintain specification compliance. Simultaneously, prioritize workforce training and retrofitting of refueling infrastructure where needed to handle blended fuels safely. From a governance perspective, engage proactively with regulators and standards bodies to shape certification pathways and to ensure that lifecycle accounting aligns with organizational sustainability targets. Finally, adopt a scenario-based investment framework that tests assumptions around tariffs, feedstock availability and demand-side adoption of SAF, thereby enabling leaders to pace capital commitments while preserving optionality for scale-up as supply economics evolve.

Methodological transparency and multi-source validation combining stakeholder interviews, policy analysis and supply-chain mapping to underpin robust conclusions and recommendations

The research synthesis underpinning this summary integrates cross-functional sources and a mixed-methods approach to ensure robust, reproducible conclusions. Primary inputs included structured interviews and briefings with refinery operators, airline fuel procurement teams, logistics providers and certification authorities to surface operational constraints and real-world decision heuristics. Secondary analysis drew on public policy announcements, technical standard documentation and trade data to contextualize supply-chain trends and tariff shifts.

Analytical methods combined qualitative thematic analysis with scenario planning and supply-chain mapping to identify critical nodes of vulnerability and opportunity. Validation steps included triangulation across independent stakeholders and iterative review by subject-matter experts in fuel chemistry, logistics and regulatory compliance. Throughout the process, data integrity checks focused on specification changes, blending protocols and certification timelines rather than on proprietary commercial volumes, ensuring that conclusions reflect operational reality and regulatory trajectories without relying on proprietary estimations.

Concluding synthesis highlighting the complementary roles of operational resilience and sustainable fuel investment for long-term aviation sector competitiveness

The conclusion synthesizes the central insight that aviation fuel strategy is increasingly multidimensional, requiring coordinated action across procurement, operations, sustainability and regulatory engagement. Short-term operational agility will remain essential as tariff dynamics and logistics constraints create episodic supply risks, but the medium-term trajectory is unmistakably toward lower-carbon fuel pathways that demand targeted investment and collaborative contracting. The organizations that succeed will be those that integrate technical capability in fuel handling and blending with commercial structures that secure feedstock and production access while remaining adaptable to policy shifts.

In practical terms, this means aligning capital allocation with phased scale-up plans for SAF, investing in digital and physical infrastructure to manage blended fuels, and engaging in partnerships that spread technological and market risk. Ultimately, a strategic orientation that treats supply resilience and sustainability as complementary - rather than competing - objectives will position operators and suppliers to thrive as the aviation sector navigates the next wave of transformation.

Table of Contents

1. Preface

• 1.1. Objectives of the Study
• 1.2. Market Segmentation & Coverage
• 1.3. Years Considered for the Study
• 1.4. Currency & Pricing
• 1.5. Language
• 1.6. Stakeholders

2. Research Methodology

• 2.1. Define: Research Objective
• 2.2. Determine: Research Design
• 2.3. Prepare: Research Instrument
• 2.4. Collect: Data Source
• 2.5. Analyze: Data Interpretation
• 2.6. Formulate: Data Verification
• 2.7. Publish: Research Report
• 2.8. Repeat: Report Update

3. Executive Summary

4. Market Overview

• 4.1. Introduction
• 4.2. Market Sizing & Forecasting

5. Market Dynamics

• 5.1. Rapid adoption of sustainable aviation fuel blending mandates across major global airlines and airports
• 5.2. Technological innovations improving efficiency and sustainability of aviation fuel refining processes
• 5.3. Expansion of commercial scale biofuel feedstock diversification projects to reduce sustainability risks
• 5.4. Impact of emerging carbon taxation and emissions trading schemes on aviation fuel sourcing strategies
• 5.5. Strategic partnerships between oil majors and airline carriers to scale sustainable aviation fuel supply
• 5.6. Investment trends in hydrogen and electric propulsion research reshaping future aviation fuel demand
• 5.7. Implementation of blockchain-enabled traceability systems for transparent aviation fuel supply chains

6. Market Insights

• 6.1. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
• 6.2. PESTLE Analysis

7. Cumulative Impact of United States Tariffs 2025

8. Aviation Fuel Market, by Fuel Type

• 8.1. Introduction
• 8.2. Conventional Fuel
  • 8.2.1. Avgas
  • 8.2.2. Jet A
  • 8.2.3. Jet A-1
  • 8.2.4. Jet B
• 8.3. Sustainable Fuel

9. Aviation Fuel Market, by Aircraft Type

• 9.1. Introduction
• 9.2. Fixed Wing
• 9.3. Rotary Wing

10. Aviation Fuel Market, by Fuel Form

• 10.1. Introduction
• 10.2. Blended
• 10.3. Gas
• 10.4. Liquid

11. Aviation Fuel Market, by End-User

• 11.1. Introduction
• 11.2. Commercial
• 11.3. Government & Public Sector
• 11.4. Military
• 11.5. Private

12. Americas Aviation Fuel Market

• 12.1. Introduction
• 12.2. United States
• 12.3. Canada
• 12.4. Mexico
• 12.5. Brazil
• 12.6. Argentina

13. Europe, Middle East & Africa Aviation Fuel Market

• 13.1. Introduction
• 13.2. United Kingdom
• 13.3. Germany
• 13.4. France
• 13.5. Russia
• 13.6. Italy
• 13.7. Spain
• 13.8. United Arab Emirates
• 13.9. Saudi Arabia
• 13.10. South Africa
• 13.11. Denmark
• 13.12. Netherlands
• 13.13. Qatar
• 13.14. Finland
• 13.15. Sweden
• 13.16. Nigeria
• 13.17. Egypt
• 13.18. Turkey
• 13.19. Israel
• 13.20. Norway
• 13.21. Poland
• 13.22. Switzerland

14. Asia-Pacific Aviation Fuel Market

• 14.1. Introduction
• 14.2. China
• 14.3. India
• 14.4. Japan
• 14.5. Australia
• 14.6. South Korea
• 14.7. Indonesia
• 14.8. Thailand
• 14.9. Philippines
• 14.10. Malaysia
• 14.11. Singapore
• 14.12. Vietnam
• 14.13. Taiwan

15. Competitive Landscape

• 15.1. Market Share Analysis, 2024
• 15.2. FPNV Positioning Matrix, 2024
• 15.3. Competitive Analysis
  • 15.3.1. Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • 15.3.2. Shell Plc
  • 15.3.3. Abu Dhabi National Oil Company
  • 15.3.4. Aemetis, Inc.
  • 15.3.5. Amyris, Inc.
  • 15.3.6. Axens SA by IFP Energies nouvelles SA
  • 15.3.7. BP PLC
  • 15.3.8. Chevron Corporation
  • 15.3.9. China National Petroleum Corporation
  • 15.3.10. CleanJoule, Inc.
  • 15.3.11. DGFuels, LLC
  • 15.3.12. ENEOS Corporation
  • 15.3.13. Enertrag SE
  • 15.3.14. Eni S.p.A.
  • 15.3.15. Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc.
  • 15.3.16. Gevo, Inc.
  • 15.3.17. HIF Global by Andes Mining & Energy S.A.
  • 15.3.18. Honeywell International Inc.
  • 15.3.19. Indian Oil Corporation Limited
  • 15.3.20. INERATEC GmbH
  • 15.3.21. KBR, Inc.
  • 15.3.22. LanzaTech Global, Inc.
  • 15.3.23. Linde PLC
  • 15.3.24. Lummus Technology LLC
  • 15.3.25. Maire Tecnimont S.p.A.
  • 15.3.26. Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation
  • 15.3.27. Montana Renewables, LLC by Calumet Inc.
  • 15.3.28. Neste Corporation

16. ResearchAI

17. ResearchStatistics

18. ResearchContacts

19. ResearchArticles

20. Appendix