유럽의 바이오에탄올 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the europe bioethanol market size in terms of production volume is expected to grow from 6.93 Billion liters in 2025 to 7.09 Billion liters in 2026 and is forecast to reach 8.26 Billion liters by 2031 at 3.11% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Feedstock (Wheat, Corn, Sugars, Lignocellulosic Residues, and Other), Application (Fuel Blending, Food and Beverages, Pharmaceuticals, Cosmetics and Personal Care, and Others), and Geography (Germany, United Kingdom, France, Spain, Italy, NORDIC Countries, Netherlands, Poland, and More). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Production Volume (Liters).

Europe Bioethanol Market Trends and Insights

RED III Mandates Raise Renewable-Fuel Quotas

Revised RED III lifts the renewable share in transport to 29% by 2030, triggering incremental demand for 1.2 billion liters of ethanol if current blend levels persist. France and Germany have already published national transposition roadmaps that emphasize ethanol compliance, while Spain and Italy intend to finalize theirs in 2026. Advanced-biofuel sub-targets grant double counting for straw-based volumes, shifting capital toward second-generation plants that can lock in premium off-take contracts with obligated parties. Producers that certify low-ILUC residues therefore enjoy structural margin advantages, cushioning them against grain-price swings. This regulatory certainty underpins the steady expansion of the European bioethanol market.

Roll-Out of E10 / E85 Across Additional EU States

Poland completed nationwide E10 pump conversions in late 2024, adding 8,000 dispensers and lifting domestic bioethanol use by 15% year on year in 2025. Spain followed in early 2025 as Repsol and Cepsa upgraded 60% of their outlets, a change that is expected to absorb an extra 200 million liters by 2027. Germany launched a grant program to retrofit 2,000 stations for E85, broadening the flex-fuel network beyond France and Sweden. Carbon-credit transfers and lower excise taxes make E85 economically attractive, widening the price gap with E10 to €0.20 per liter in 2025. Expanded infrastructure removes blend-wall constraints, supporting the projected 3.11% CAGR of the European bioethanol market.

Feedstock-Price Volatility and Food-Versus-Fuel Debate

European wheat traded between €210 and €280 per ton in 2025, a 30% swing that compressed margins for plants lacking hedging capacity. Drought in Southern Europe rekindled the food-fuel debate as NGOs criticized the diversion of cereals to ethanol. RED III caps crop-based biofuels at 2020 levels, yet political scrutiny remains high in Spain and Italy, where bread-wheat prices spiked during mid-2025. Larger players lock multiyear grain contracts and build on-site storage, but small distillers without balance-sheet strength face margin squeezes that accelerate consolidation. Volatile feedstock, therefore, restricts upside for the European bioethanol market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Carbon-Pricing and GHG-Credit Premiums Enhance Economics
2. Alcohol-to-Jet Pathway Inclusion in ReFuelEU Aviation
3. ILUC-Factor Compliance Increases Certification Costs

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

In 2025, corn accounted for 50.2% of bioethanol production in Europe, bolstered by extensive dry-mill facilities in Hungary, Romania, and Central Europe. This dominance underscores corn's pivotal role in Europe's bioethanol landscape. Meanwhile, lignocellulosic residues are projected to grow at a 6.2% CAGR through 2031. This surge is driven by producers ramping up advanced ethanol production from agricultural waste and forestry by-products, all in a bid to align with tightening decarbonization mandates. Wheat, a key feedstock in France, Germany, and the UK, enjoys advantages from its integration with milling infrastructure and adaptable feedstock economics. Sugars benefit from sugar beet processing and co-fermentation perks at facilities run by local agribusinesses. Additionally, other feedstocks encompass mixed biomass and specialized agricultural residues, processed at both pilot and commercial-scale facilities.

Second-generation output enjoys double-counting credits and commands price premiums that offset higher capex, eroding wheat's margin advantage where carbon pricing is stringent. Verbio's modular approach, integrating straw collection with existing distillation trains at EUR 150-200 million (~ USD 174-232 million) per 50,000-ton module, lowers investment hurdles compared with greenfield builds. CropEnergies will replicate the model at its Zeitz site, adding 30,000 tons of advanced capacity by 2027. While corn is set to command the largest share of Europe's bioethanol market until 2031, its dominance will wane as lignocellulosic residues capture an increasing share, propelled by carbon reduction goals and strategies for feedstock diversification.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Feedstock
  • Wheat
  • Corn
  • Lignocellulosic Residues
  • Sugars
  • Other
• By Application
  • Fuel Blending (Transportation)
  • Food and Beverages (Spirits, Extracts)
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Cosmetics and Personal Care
  • Others
• By Geography
  • Germany
  • United Kingdom
  • France
  • Spain
  • Italy
  • NORDIC Countries
  • Netherlands
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Rest of Europe

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. CropEnergies AG
2. Vertex Bioenergy
3. Tereos SCA
4. Pannonia Bio Zrt.
5. Lantmannen Agroetanol
6. Abengoa
7. ADM
8. AGRANA Beteiligungs-AG
9. Cargill
10. ALCOGROUP SA
11. Anora Group Plc
12. BIOAGRA S.A.
13. Verbio SE
14. Clariant AG
15. British Sugar plc
16. Vivergo Fuels
17. BioWanze SA
18. Euro Ethyl Ltd.
19. Essentica Ltd.
20. Tereos Syral (France)
21. Ryssen Alcool (France)
22. Sekab E-Technology AB
23. Green Biologics Ltd.
24. Ryazan (Valio Biofuels)

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 RED III mandates raise renewable-fuel quotas
  • 4.2.2 Roll-out of E10/E85 across additional EU states
  • 4.2.3 Carbon-pricing & GHG-credit premiums enhance ethanol economics
  • 4.2.4 Alcohol-to-Jet pathway inclusion in ReFuelEU Aviation
  • 4.2.5 Monetisation of "green" CO2 from fermentation streams
  • 4.2.6 Protein-rich co-products boost integrated biorefinery margins
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Feedstock-price volatility & food-versus-fuel debate
  • 4.3.2 ILUC-factor compliance increases certification costs
  • 4.3.3 High energy-price swings hit distillation economics
  • 4.3.4 EV & e-fuel policy signals cap long-term gasoline pool
• 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook (1G vs 2G, ATJ)
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

• 5.1 By Feedstock
  • 5.1.1 Wheat
  • 5.1.2 Corn
  • 5.1.3 Lignocellulosic Residues
  • 5.1.4 Sugars
  • 5.1.5 Other
• 5.2 By Application
  • 5.2.1 Fuel Blending (Transportation)
  • 5.2.2 Food and Beverages (Spirits, Extracts)
  • 5.2.3 Pharmaceuticals
  • 5.2.4 Cosmetics and Personal Care
  • 5.2.5 Others
• 5.3 By Geography
  • 5.3.1 Germany
  • 5.3.2 United Kingdom
  • 5.3.3 France
  • 5.3.4 Spain
  • 5.3.5 Italy
  • 5.3.6 NORDIC Countries
  • 5.3.7 Netherlands
  • 5.3.8 Poland
  • 5.3.9 Russia
  • 5.3.10 Rest of Europe

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves (M&A, Partnerships, PPAs)
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis (Market Rank/Share for key companies)
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 CropEnergies AG
  • 6.4.2 Vertex Bioenergy
  • 6.4.3 Tereos SCA
  • 6.4.4 Pannonia Bio Zrt.
  • 6.4.5 Lantmannen Agroetanol
  • 6.4.6 Abengoa
  • 6.4.7 ADM
  • 6.4.8 AGRANA Beteiligungs-AG
  • 6.4.9 Cargill
  • 6.4.10 ALCOGROUP SA
  • 6.4.11 Anora Group Plc
  • 6.4.12 BIOAGRA S.A.
  • 6.4.13 Verbio SE
  • 6.4.14 Clariant AG
  • 6.4.15 British Sugar plc
  • 6.4.16 Vivergo Fuels
  • 6.4.17 BioWanze SA
  • 6.4.18 Euro Ethyl Ltd.
  • 6.4.19 Essentica Ltd.
  • 6.4.20 Tereos Syral (France)
  • 6.4.21 Ryssen Alcool (France)
  • 6.4.22 Sekab E-Technology AB
  • 6.4.23 Green Biologics Ltd.
  • 6.4.24 Ryazan (Valio Biofuels)

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-Space & Unmet-Need Assessment