미사일 및 미사일 방어 시스템 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향과 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the missiles and missile defense systems market size is expected to grow from USD 16.66 billion in 2025 to USD 17.45 billion in 2026 and is forecasted to reach USD 22.89 billion by 2031 at a 5.58% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Range (Short-Range, Medium-Range, Intermediate-Range, Intercontinental), Missile and Defense System Type (Missile-Defense Interceptors, Anti-Aircraft Missiles, and More), End-User (Army, Navy, and Air Force), and Geography (North America, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Missiles And Missile Defense Systems Market Trends and Insights

Escalating Great-Power Tensions and Sustained Defense-Budget Growth

Defense budgets continue to rise, led by a US request of USD 849.8 billion for fiscal 2025 that earmarks USD 33.7 billion for missile defense programs. China's official allocation rose to USD 236 billion in 2025, while independent estimates suggest real spending is significantly higher. Middle-power states respond by accelerating purchases, as seen in Poland's USD 3.5 billion Javelin order, which locked in semiconductor supply and reduced unit costs. Multi-year agreements now dominate procurement, smoothing production lines for energetics and launch vehicles. This steady funding cycle supports the missiles and missile defense systems market by guaranteeing volume for prime contractors and their upstream suppliers.

Global Shift Toward Layered Integrated Air and Missile Defense Procurements

Nations are integrating radars, satellites, and airborne sensors into a single command network that cues any interceptor from any sensor. NATO's 2024 Brussels communique mandates the implementation of Link 16 and Cooperative Engagement Capability by 2028. Germany's IRIS-T SLM and Spain's Patriot PAC-3 MSE buys include software radios that enable real-time track handoff. The resulting demand boost extends beyond missiles to open-architecture launchers and battle-management software vendors, broadening revenue opportunities inside the missiles and missile defense systems market.

Extremely High R&D and Unit-Procurement Costs

Next-generation interceptors carry price tags many buyers cannot absorb. The Glide Phase Interceptor program totals USD 18.9 billion, with a projected unit cost of near USD 45 million, which dwarfs the USD 3 million price of the PAC-3 MSE. European Sky Shield pools 15 nations to gain IRIS-T volume discounts, but collective buying slows schedules. As costs rise, some governments trim orders, eroding economies of scale and restraining growth in the missiles and missile defense systems market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Rapid Emergence of Hypersonic Threats Accelerating Interceptor and Sensor Demand
2. AI-Enabled Guidance, C2 and Sensor-Fusion Boosting Accuracy and Exportability
3. Tightening Export-Control and Compliance Regimes

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Short-range platforms generated 37.89% of 2025 revenue, illustrating the tactical urgency that keeps production lines active for low-cost interceptors. The missiles and missile defense systems market size for short-range solutions is expanding as armies counter drones and loitering munitions that evade heavy radars. Mobile batteries, such as the IRIS-T SLM, achieved a 95% intercept success rate in 2024 operations, strengthening buyer confidence. Volume demand supports economies of scale that hold unit prices steady despite gallium-nitride shortages. Suppliers leverage standard launch canisters across ranges to streamline logistics.

Intermediate-range systems are forecast to rise at a 6.25% CAGR through 2031, reflecting strategic hedging against regional stand-off weapons. Japan's 2025 Tomahawk purchase demonstrates how democracies can expand their reach without violating nuclear treaties. Although lower in volume, these missiles generate premium margins, thereby lifting the overall market for missiles and missile defense systems. Manufacturers manage the diverse portfolio by sharing seeker electronics and propulsion sub-assemblies between ranges, smoothing production planning across cycles.

Interceptor programs brought 51.45% of 2025 revenue, making them the cornerstone of the missiles and missile defense systems market share. THAAD, Arrow 3, and Ground-based Midcourse Defense fill the exo-atmospheric niche that demands high-priced kinetic kill vehicles. Open-architecture launchers now accept multiple interceptor types, enabling forces to tailor loadouts to specific scenarios and extend platform life.

Anti-aircraft missiles are projected to expand at a rate of 5.89% through 2031, as low-altitude cruise missiles challenge traditional radar defenses. NASAMS sales to Ukraine proved the value of mobile command-and-control kits that network with legacy radars. Suppliers retrofit seekers with software upgrades instead of hardware swaps, cutting integration time. This agility widens adoption across smaller militaries and underscores the diversity within the missiles and missile defense systems market.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Range
  • Short-Range (Less than 1 000 km)
  • Medium-Range (1 000-3 000 km)
  • Intermediate-Range (3 001-5 500 km)
  • Intercontinental (More than 5 500 km)
• By Missile and Defense System Type
  • Missile-Defense Interceptors
  • Anti-Aircraft Missiles
  • Anti-Ship Missiles
  • Anti-Tank Missiles
• By Platform
  • Land
  • Naval
  • Airborne
  • Space
• By End-User
  • Army
  • Navy
  • Air Force
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Germany
    • Russia
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East and Africa
    • Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Israel
      • Rest of Middle East
    • Africa
      • South Africa
      • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America accounted for 35.65% of 2025 revenue, driven by the United States' layered IAMD architecture and Canada's NORAD modernization. The 2025 US Missile Defense Agency budget allocates USD 13.5 billion for next-generation interceptors, thereby preserving domestic production lines. Canada's CAD 4.9 billion (USD 5.16 billion) North Warning System upgrade funds over-the-horizon radars that detect glide vehicles. Regional dominance stems from dense contractor ecosystems and test ranges, though future congressional caps could temper spending growth.

The Middle East and Africa region is the fastest-growing, with a 6.78% CAGR. Saudi Arabia fielded THAAD under a USD 15 billion program, adding exo-atmospheric coverage to Patriot batteries. The United Arab Emirates expanded PAC-3 deployments to protect infrastructure after drone raids. Israel sustains a layered defense by procuring Iron Dome, David's Sling, and Arrow interceptors, creating a robust local supply chain that feeds regional exports. Emerging buyers in Sub-Saharan Africa signal new demand for locally assembled missiles.

Asia-Pacific pursues domestic development to ease ITAR constraints. Japan spends USD 5.1 billion on a hypersonic Chu-SAM interceptor. South Korea's L-SAM intercepted a ballistic target at 50 km altitude and is moving to production in 2027. India flight-tested the Agni-Prime with a canister launch, enhancing its survivability. China's DF-17 expansion prompts neighbors to accelerate the development of sensor networks, thereby enlarging the market for missiles and missile defense systems in the region.

1. RTX Corporation
2. Lockheed Martin Corporation
3. Northrop Grumman Corporation
4. The Boeing Company
5. MBDA
6. Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.
7. Saab AB
8. Kongsberg Gruppen ASA
9. RAFAEL Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
10. Hanwha Aerospace
11. L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
12. Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG
13. Thales Group
14. Bharat Dynamics Limited.
15. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
16. Roketsan A.S.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Escalating great-power tensions and sustained defense-budget growth
  • 4.2.2 Global shift toward layered Integrated Air and Missile Defense (IAMD) procurements
  • 4.2.3 Rapid emergence of hypersonic threats accelerating interceptor and sensor demand
  • 4.2.4 AI-enabled guidance, C2 and sensor-fusion boosting accuracy and exportability
  • 4.2.5 National strategic-stockpile programmes securing long-term energetics offtake
  • 4.2.6 Proliferated space-based tracking constellations lowering entry barriers
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Extremely high R&D and unit-procurement costs
  • 4.3.2 Tightening export-control and compliance regimes (ITAR, MTCR, EU dual-use)
  • 4.3.3 Heat-resistant material and GaN TR-module supply-chain bottlenecks
  • 4.3.4 Rising cyber-security and system-integration risk profile
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
  • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Range
  • 5.1.1 Short-Range (Less than 1 000 km)
  • 5.1.2 Medium-Range (1 000-3 000 km)
  • 5.1.3 Intermediate-Range (3 001-5 500 km)
  • 5.1.4 Intercontinental (More than 5 500 km)
• 5.2 By Missile and Defense System Type
  • 5.2.1 Missile-Defense Interceptors
  • 5.2.2 Anti-Aircraft Missiles
  • 5.2.3 Anti-Ship Missiles
  • 5.2.4 Anti-Tank Missiles
• 5.3 By Platform
  • 5.3.1 Land
  • 5.3.2 Naval
  • 5.3.3 Airborne
  • 5.3.4 Space
• 5.4 By End-User
  • 5.4.1 Army
  • 5.4.2 Navy
  • 5.4.3 Air Force
• 5.5 By Geography
  • 5.5.1 North America
    • 5.5.1.1 United States
    • 5.5.1.2 Canada
    • 5.5.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.5.2 Europe
    • 5.5.2.1 United Kingdom
    • 5.5.2.2 France
    • 5.5.2.3 Germany
    • 5.5.2.4 Russia
    • 5.5.2.5 Rest of Europe
  • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.3.1 China
    • 5.5.3.2 India
    • 5.5.3.3 Japan
    • 5.5.3.4 South Korea
    • 5.5.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.5.4 South America
    • 5.5.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.5.4.2 Rest of South America
  • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.5.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.5.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.5.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.5.5.1.3 Israel
      • 5.5.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
    • 5.5.5.2 Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.2 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials, Strategic Info, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 RTX Corporation
  • 6.4.2 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 6.4.3 Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 6.4.4 The Boeing Company
  • 6.4.5 MBDA
  • 6.4.6 Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.
  • 6.4.7 Saab AB
  • 6.4.8 Kongsberg Gruppen ASA
  • 6.4.9 RAFAEL Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
  • 6.4.10 Hanwha Aerospace
  • 6.4.11 L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • 6.4.12 Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG
  • 6.4.13 Thales Group
  • 6.4.14 Bharat Dynamics Limited.
  • 6.4.15 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
  • 6.4.16 Roketsan A.S.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment