합성고무 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향과 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the synthetic rubber market size is projected to be USD 34.82 billion in 2025, USD 36.30 billion in 2026, and reach USD 44.69 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 4.25% from 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Type (Styrene-Butadiene Rubber (SBR), Polybutadiene Rubber (BR), and More), Manufacturing Process (Emulsion Polymerization, and More), Raw Material (Butadiene, Isoprene, Styrene, and More), Application (Tire and Tire Components, Non-Tire Automobile Applications, and More), and Geography (Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, and More). Market Forecasts are Provided in Value (USD).

Global Synthetic Rubber Market Trends and Insights

Surging Demand for High-Performance Tires from EV OEMs

Electric-vehicle torque and battery mass raise tread wear by 20-30%, driving OEMs toward S-SBR formulations that bond to silica fillers and cut rolling resistance up to 20%. Tesla's 2024 supply contracts and BYD's 2025 in-house compounding push producers to retrofit continuous solution reactors despite USD 50-80 million capital outlays. Tier-1 suppliers without functionalized grades risk contract losses as EV sales head toward 20% of global light-vehicle volume in 2027. Aerodynamic gains from thinner sidewalls further link tire chemistry to vehicle range, cementing the synthetic rubber market as a strategic lever for automakers.

Growth of Industrial Rubber Goods for Renewable-Energy Installations

Wind-turbine nacelles cycle between -40 °C and +60 °C, requiring EPDM seals with ozone resistance beyond natural rubber limits. Dow's 2025 launch of NORDEL REN EPDM with 50% bio-carbon secured approvals at Vestas and Siemens Gamesa, while lithium-mine conveyor belts specify nitrile grades that withstand brine and sub-zero exposure. These high-value niches underpin the 4.58% CAGR forecast for industrial goods inside the synthetic rubber market.

Volatility in Butadiene Feedstock Prices

Spot butadiene in Asia climbed 67% from 2024-2025 on cracker outages, squeezing emulsion-SBR margins when tire makers resisted price hikes. Solution-grade plants faced USD 100-150 t purity premiums, eroding their cost advantage. Vertical integration by Saudi Aramco and SABIC secures captive streams, yet independent producers in India remain exposed, forcing higher inventories that strain working capital.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Advancements in Medical and Healthcare Applications
2. Shift Toward Bio-Based Monomers in North America
3. Substitution by High-Performance Polyurethanes in Seals and Gaskets

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Styrene-butadiene rubber commanded 40.89% of the synthetic rubber market share in 2025, benefiting from replacement-tire cost advantages. Ethylene-Propylene-Diene Monomer (EPDM) is projected to post the fastest 5.81% CAGR as roofing retrofits and NVH upgrades proliferate. Polybutadiene blends enhance winter-tire flexibility, while butyl retains premium pricing in pharmaceutical stoppers. The synthetic rubber market size attributed to EPDM is anticipated to expand significantly by 2031, reflecting its versatile weathering profile. Solution-SBR grades dominate ultra-high-performance tires as EV adoption ramps, aided by investments at LG Chem and Kumho Petrochemical.

Continuous reactor retrofits cost USD 50-80 million per 100 kt line, favoring incumbents with access to low-cost finance. ARLANXEO's Keltan ECO EPDM, launched in 2025, embeds 70% bio-carbon and helps automotive OEMs reduce Scope 3 emissions. Specialty nitrile and chloroprene remain valuable in oil-field seals and flame-retardant cable jackets, capturing price premiums despite modest volumes. As EVs cross the 20% sales threshold in 2027, type-mix will tilt toward solution-grade SBR, tightening competitive dynamics inside the synthetic rubber market.

Emulsion polymerization represented 61.67% of capacity in 2025, yet solution processes will grow at a 5.66% CAGR due to tighter molecular-weight control and solvent-loop efficiency. LG Chem's Yeosu expansion adds automated dosing for viscosity uniformity, trimming variance by 40%. Continuous gas-phase technology remains confined to specialty high-cis polybutadiene but reduces energy intensity below 2.5 GJ t, beating older batch reactors.

Batch emulsion units built pre-2010 consume 20-30% more steam and generate high-COD latex effluent, pushing operators toward costly wastewater retrofits. Kumho Petrochemical's 40 kt solution-SBR project, slated for 2027, targets North American EV tire demand exempt from anti-dumping duties. The process mix shift underlines sustainability pressures shaping the synthetic rubber market.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Type
  • Styrene-Butadiene Rubber (SBR)
  • Polybutadiene Rubber (BR)
  • Ethylene-Propylene-Diene Monomer (EPDM)
  • Isobutylene-Isoprene Rubber (IIR)
  • Polyisoprene Rubber (IR)
  • Others (NBR, CR, ACM, HNBR, etc.)
• By Manufacturing Process
  • Emulsion Polymerization (E-SBR)
  • Solution Polymerization (S-SBR)
  • Advanced Continuous Polymerization
• By Raw Material
  • Butadiene
  • Isoprene
  • Styrene
  • Ethylene and Propylene
  • Other Specialty Monomers (ACN, Chloroprene)
• By Application
  • Tire and Tire Components
  • Non-Tire Automobile Applications
  • Industrial Goods
  • Footwear
  • Other Applications
• By Geography
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Malaysia
    • Thailand
    • Vietnam
    • Indonesia
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Italy
    • Spain
    • Russia
    • Nordics
    • Turkey
    • Rest of Europe
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East and Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Egypt
    • Nigeria
    • Rest of Middle East and Africa

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific commanded 57.89% of the synthetic rubber market revenue in 2025 and is projected to advance at a 4.46% CAGR through 2031. India's radial-tire lines and China's EV boom offset margin pressure from butadiene spikes above USD 1,400 per ton. ASEAN nations gain FDI as tariff-free hubs into Australia and Japan, diversifying regional supply.

North America's synthetic rubber demand is driven by USMCA reshoring and DOE-funded bio-monomer pilots. Bridgestone's ethanol-to-butadiene demo and Goodyear's Visolis tie-up position the region at the forefront of renewable feedstock commercialization.

Europe accounts for significant demand but faces REACH microplastic rules and PFAS scrutiny, nudging formulators toward non-fluorinated chemistries. However, the continent's aged roofing stock drives EPDM retrofits at attractive margins. The Middle East integrates downstream via Saudi Aramco's synthetic-rubber assets and SABIC's Fujian complex, targeting export sales into Asia and Europe. South America's synthetic rubber demand concentrates in Brazil's replacement-tire segment, while Nigeria's nascent assembly industry promises incremental demand post-2027.

1. Apcotex Industries
2. Arlanxeo
3. Asahi Kasei Corporation
4. China Petrochemical Corporation
5. Dow
6. ENEOS Corporation
7. Exxon Mobil Corporation
8. Indian Synthetic Rubber Private Limited
9. Jiangsu Sailboat Petrochemical Co. Ltd.
10. Kumho Petrochemical
11. LANXESS
12. LG Chem
13. Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation
14. Reliance Industries Limited
15. SABIC
16. Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
17. SIBUR Holding PJSC
18. Synthos
19. The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
20. Trinseo
21. TSRC
22. Versalis S.p.A.
23. Zeon Corporation

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Surging demand for high-performance tires from EV OEMs
  • 4.2.2 Growth of industrial rubber goods for renewable-energy installations
  • 4.2.3 Advancements in medical and healthcare applications
  • 4.2.4 Shift toward bio-based monomers in North America
  • 4.2.5 Expansion of 5G infrastructure driving EPDM seal consumption
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Volatility in butadiene feedstock prices
  • 4.3.2 Substitution by high-performance polyurethanes in seals and gaskets
  • 4.3.3 PFAS-linked regulatory pressure on fluoro-elastomer blends
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.5.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.5.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.5.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value)

• 5.1 By Type
  • 5.1.1 Styrene-Butadiene Rubber (SBR)
  • 5.1.2 Polybutadiene Rubber (BR)
  • 5.1.3 Ethylene-Propylene-Diene Monomer (EPDM)
  • 5.1.4 Isobutylene-Isoprene Rubber (IIR)
  • 5.1.5 Polyisoprene Rubber (IR)
  • 5.1.6 Others (NBR, CR, ACM, HNBR, etc.)
• 5.2 By Manufacturing Process
  • 5.2.1 Emulsion Polymerization (E-SBR)
  • 5.2.2 Solution Polymerization (S-SBR)
  • 5.2.3 Advanced Continuous Polymerization
• 5.3 By Raw Material
  • 5.3.1 Butadiene
  • 5.3.2 Isoprene
  • 5.3.3 Styrene
  • 5.3.4 Ethylene and Propylene
  • 5.3.5 Other Specialty Monomers (ACN, Chloroprene)
• 5.4 By Application
  • 5.4.1 Tire and Tire Components
  • 5.4.2 Non-Tire Automobile Applications
  • 5.4.3 Industrial Goods
  • 5.4.4 Footwear
  • 5.4.5 Other Applications
• 5.5 By Geography
  • 5.5.1 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.1.1 China
    • 5.5.1.2 India
    • 5.5.1.3 Japan
    • 5.5.1.4 South Korea
    • 5.5.1.5 Malaysia
    • 5.5.1.6 Thailand
    • 5.5.1.7 Vietnam
    • 5.5.1.8 Indonesia
    • 5.5.1.9 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.5.2 North America
    • 5.5.2.1 United States
    • 5.5.2.2 Canada
    • 5.5.2.3 Mexico
  • 5.5.3 Europe
    • 5.5.3.1 Germany
    • 5.5.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.5.3.3 France
    • 5.5.3.4 Italy
    • 5.5.3.5 Spain
    • 5.5.3.6 Russia
    • 5.5.3.7 Nordics
    • 5.5.3.8 Turkey
    • 5.5.3.9 Rest of Europe
  • 5.5.4 South America
    • 5.5.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.5.4.2 Argentina
    • 5.5.4.3 Colombia
    • 5.5.4.4 Rest of South America
  • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.5.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.5.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.5.5.3 Qatar
    • 5.5.5.4 South Africa
    • 5.5.5.5 Egypt
    • 5.5.5.6 Nigeria
    • 5.5.5.7 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share(%)/Ranking Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Apcotex Industries
  • 6.4.2 Arlanxeo
  • 6.4.3 Asahi Kasei Corporation
  • 6.4.4 China Petrochemical Corporation
  • 6.4.5 Dow
  • 6.4.6 ENEOS Corporation
  • 6.4.7 Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • 6.4.8 Indian Synthetic Rubber Private Limited
  • 6.4.9 Jiangsu Sailboat Petrochemical Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.10 Kumho Petrochemical
  • 6.4.11 LANXESS
  • 6.4.12 LG Chem
  • 6.4.13 Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation
  • 6.4.14 Reliance Industries Limited
  • 6.4.15 SABIC
  • 6.4.16 Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
  • 6.4.17 SIBUR Holding PJSC
  • 6.4.18 Synthos
  • 6.4.19 The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
  • 6.4.20 Trinseo
  • 6.4.21 TSRC
  • 6.4.22 Versalis S.p.A.
  • 6.4.23 Zeon Corporation

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment
• 7.2 Development of Bio-Based Synthetic Rubbers