플렉서빌러티 시장과 실현 기술

Distributed energy resources (DER) are increasingly being deployed across residential, commercial, and industrial sectors to enhance grid flexibility and support the transition to more resilient energy systems. Flexibility mechanisms-including demand response (DR) programs and virtual power plant (VPP) aggregations-enable increased capacity, improved grid management, and streamlined interconnection. The ongoing digitalization of the energy sector is facilitating the development of virtual marketplaces, making energy trading more accessible and efficient for a broad range of stakeholders. Pairing flexibility markets and utility programs with DER can contribute to cost-effective solutions and reduce the need for long-term grid maintenance and upgrades.

This report provides detailed forecasts for cumulative flexible DER capacity, revenue, and implementation spending across five major geographic regions: North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. Country-level analysis is included for selected markets with established or emerging flexibility programs: the U.S., France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Australia, and Japan. The forecasts focuses on DER participating in flexibility programs or markets-segmented into DR and VPP-rather than total installed DER capacity. Revenue reflects payments from wholesale or local flexibility markets and utility DR programs to service providers and customers for delivering flexibility, while implementation spending encompasses program costs, telemetry, device controls, and enabling software.

Guidehouse Research's analysis is designed for electricity end users, DER owners, software companies, aggregators, regulators, grid operators, and electricity market operators seeking actionable insights into market trends, drivers, barriers, and regulatory developments. With cumulative flexible DER capacity projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.0% from 2025 through 2034, the report offers a comprehensive view of the evolving landscape, supporting strategic decision-making for stakeholders navigating the future of flexibility markets and enabling technologies.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Introduction
• 1.2 Market Issues
• 1.3 Industry Value Chain
• 1.4 Market Forecasts

2.Market Issues

• 2.1 Drivers
  • 2.1.1 Digitalization of the Energy Market
  • 2.1.2 Increased Customer Adoption of DER
  • 2.1.3 Advances in Flexibility-Enabling Technology
• 2.2 Barriers
  • 2.2.1 Scaling Up and Integrating VPPs
  • 2.2.2 Regulatory Issues
  • 2.2.3 Transmission and Distribution Conflicts
• 2.3 Policy Landscape

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Competitive Landscape
  • 3.1.1 M&A, Partnerships, and Company Programs
  • 3.1.2 Pricing
  • 3.1.3 DER Flexibility Procurement
    • 3.1.3.1 Explicit vs. Implicit Flexibility
    • 3.1.3.2 Wholesale and Retail Markets
    • 3.1.3.3 Utility Contracts and Programs
    • 3.1.3.4 Local Flexibility Markets
    • 3.1.3.5 Non-Wires Alternatives

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
  • 4.1.1 Forecast Definitions
• 4.2 Global Forecast
• 4.3 Regional Forecasts
  • 4.3.1 North America
  • 4.3.2 Europe
  • 4.3.3 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.3.4 Latin America
  • 4.3.5 Middle East & Africa

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Three Big Takeaways
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 Policymakers and Regulators
  • 5.2.2 Grid Operators
  • 5.2.3 VPP Operators and DER Aggregators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7.Table of Contents

8.Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes