세계의 탄소 상쇄 시장 예측(-2032년) : 프로젝트 유형별, 크레딧 유형별, 인증 기준별, 최종 사용자별, 지역별 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Offsets Market is accounted for $625 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $2634 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 22.8% during the forecast period. Measurable decreases in greenhouse gas emissions that are utilized to make up for emissions generated elsewhere are known as carbon offsets. They are accomplished by initiatives that eliminate or stop emissions, such as methane capture, renewable energy, and reforestation. To balance their carbon footprints and promote international environmental initiatives, businesses and individuals purchase carbon offsets. Credibility is ensured by verified initiatives, which also promote cleaner energy and environmental conservation, mitigating climate change.

According to AlliedOffsets as of March 2025 there were 33,882 carbon offset projects globally.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising awareness of climate change

Governments, corporations, and individuals are increasingly adopting carbon neutrality goals to mitigate environmental impacts. Initiatives like the Paris Agreement and corporate ESG commitments have amplified demand for carbon credits. Additionally, heightened media coverage and scientific reports on global warming have pressured industries to reduce emissions, fostering investments in offset projects. This collective shift toward sustainability underscores carbon offsets as a critical tool for balancing unavoidable emissions, thereby accelerating market growth.

Restraint:

High cost of carbon offset projects

Projects such as reforestation, renewable energy installations, or methane capture require substantial capital, advanced technologies, and long-term maintenance. Moreover, costs associated with third-party verification and certification further strain budgets, particularly for smaller enterprises. These financial barriers deter participation from cost-sensitive industries, limiting market scalability. While large corporations can absorb these expenses, SMEs often struggle; creating an uneven competitive landscape and slowing broader adoption of carbon offset initiatives.

Opportunity:

Integration with blockchain & AI

Blockchain enhances transparency by enabling immutable tracking of carbon credit transactions, reducing fraud risks. AI optimizes project selection and impact assessment through predictive analytics, improving efficiency. Startups leveraging these technologies are attracting investor interest, while corporations seek tech-driven solutions to meet sustainability targets. Additionally, decentralized platforms could democratize access to carbon markets, fostering participation from smaller entities. This synergy of innovation and sustainability is poised to redefine market dynamics, driving growth and credibility.

Threat:

Lack of standardization & transparency

Varying methodologies for measuring carbon sequestration and inconsistent pricing mechanisms create market fragmentation. Moreover, concerns over "greenwashing" and the legitimacy of offset projects erode stakeholder trust. While organizations like Verra and Gold Standard aim to address these gaps, regulatory disparities across regions persist. Without harmonized guidelines, the market risks inefficiencies and reduced credibility deterring potential participants.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted the carbon offsets market as economic slowdowns reduced industrial emissions and diverted corporate budgets toward crisis management. Project delays, particularly in forestry and renewable energy, stalled credit issuance. However, post-covid recovery strategies emphasized green investments, with governments and businesses integrating carbon neutrality into stimulus plans. Remote work also spurred digital solutions for offset verification and trading. While initial demand dipped, the crisis reinforced the urgency of climate action, positioning the market for accelerated growth as economies rebounded with a stronger sustainability focus.

The forestry & land use segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The forestry & land use segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its proven carbon sequestration capabilities and co-benefits like biodiversity conservation. Afforestation, reforestation, and avoided deforestation projects align with global climate goals, attracting public and private investments. Additionally, initiatives such as REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) have gained traction in developing nations. The tangible ecological and social impacts of these projects enhance their appeal, ensuring sustained demand.

The technology & IT segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the technology & IT segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by innovations in carbon accounting, monitoring, and trading platforms. Digital tools enable real-time emission tracking and automated credit purchasing, streamlining corporate compliance. Moreover, AI-driven platforms optimize offset project selection, while blockchain ensures transactional integrity. Startups offering SaaS solutions for carbon management are proliferating, supported by venture capital inflows. As industries prioritize data-driven sustainability strategies, this segment's agility and scalability position it for rapid growth.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share fueled by stringent regulatory frameworks like the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and the Green Deal. High carbon pricing, corporate sustainability mandates, and government-led climate initiatives drive demand for offsets. Additionally, robust participation from industries such as energy, aviation, and manufacturing reinforces regional dominance. Collaborative efforts among member states to achieve net-zero targets further bolster market growth, positioning Europe as a global leader in carbon offset adoption.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR driven by rapid industrialization and increasing climate commitments. Countries like China and India are investing in renewable energy and afforestation projects to balance economic growth with emission reductions. Moreover, rising corporate ESG adoption and international climate financing programs accelerate market expansion. The region's large population, coupled with urbanization and tech-driven innovations, creates a fertile ground for carbon offset solutions in the region.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Carbon Offsets Market include South Pole Group, 3Degrees Group, Inc., EcoAct, Verra, Gold Standard, Climate Impact Partners, NativeEnergy, Carbon Credit Capital, TerraPass, Cool Effect, ClimateCare, Natural Capital Partners, Pachama, Carbonfund.org Foundation and Shell.

Key Developments:

In March 2025, South Pole is proud to support a major milestone in Ghana's transition to sustainable transport with the signing of an Article 6 Mitigation Action Purchase Agreement (MOPA) between the Swedish Energy Agency (SEA) & Solar Taxi Ltd, a leading electric vehicle company in Ghana. This marks South Pole's second major ITMO deal in the transport sector and its first with the Swedish Energy Agency, advancing international carbon finance under Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement, which enables countries to collaborate on emission reduction targets.

In August 2024, 3Degrees, a leading global climate solutions provider and certified B Corporation, announced the launch of its Supply Chain Emission Reduction Agreement product. This innovative approach empowers suppliers to deliver products with reduced emissions intensity, helping organizations hit their scope 3 goals. This solution is initially available for organizations in the food and apparel industry with North American agricultural supply chains.

Project Types Covered:

• Renewable Energy Projects
• Forestry & Land Use
• Methane Capture & Destruction
• Energy Efficiency Projects
• Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
• Agricultural Practices
• Blue Carbon Projects
• Other Project Types

Credit Types Covered:

• Voluntary Carbon Credits
• Compliance Carbon Credits

Certification Standards Covered:

• Verified Carbon Standard (VCS/Verra)
• Gold Standard
• Climate Action Reserve (CAR)
• American Carbon Registry (ACR)
• Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
• International Carbon Reduction and Offset Alliance (ICROA)
• ISO Standards for Carbon Offset Verification

End Users Covered:

• Energy & Utilities
• Transportation
• Manufacturing & Industrial
• Technology & IT
• Government & Public Sector
• Individuals & Households

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 End User Analysis
• 3.7 Emerging Markets
• 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Project Type

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Renewable Energy Projects
• 5.3 Forestry & Land Use
• 5.4 Methane Capture & Destruction
• 5.5 Energy Efficiency Projects
• 5.6 Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
• 5.7 Agricultural Practices
• 5.8 Blue Carbon Projects
• 5.9 Other Project Types

6 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Credit Type

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Voluntary Carbon Credits
• 6.3 Compliance Carbon Credits

7 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Certification Standard

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Verified Carbon Standard (VCS/Verra)
• 7.3 Gold Standard
• 7.4 Climate Action Reserve (CAR)
• 7.5 American Carbon Registry (ACR)
• 7.6 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
• 7.7 International Carbon Reduction and Offset Alliance (ICROA)
• 7.8 ISO Standards for Carbon Offset Verification

8 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By End User

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Energy & Utilities
• 8.3 Transportation
• 8.4 Manufacturing & Industrial
• 8.5 Technology & IT
• 8.6 Government & Public Sector
• 8.7 Individuals & Households

9 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Geography

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 US
  • 9.2.2 Canada
  • 9.2.3 Mexico
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 Germany
  • 9.3.2 UK
  • 9.3.3 Italy
  • 9.3.4 France
  • 9.3.5 Spain
  • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 Japan
  • 9.4.2 China
  • 9.4.3 India
  • 9.4.4 Australia
  • 9.4.5 New Zealand
  • 9.4.6 South Korea
  • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 9.5 South America
  • 9.5.1 Argentina
  • 9.5.2 Brazil
  • 9.5.3 Chile
  • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
• 9.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.2 UAE
  • 9.6.3 Qatar
  • 9.6.4 South Africa
  • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

• 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 10.3 New Product Launch
• 10.4 Expansions
• 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

• 11.1 South Pole Group
• 11.2 3Degrees Group, Inc.
• 11.3 EcoAct
• 11.4 Verra
• 11.5 Gold Standard
• 11.6 Climate Impact Partners
• 11.7 NativeEnergy
• 11.8 Carbon Credit Capital
• 11.9 TerraPass
• 11.10 Cool Effect
• 11.11 ClimateCare
• 11.12 Natural Capital Partners
• 11.13 Pachama
• 11.14 Carbonfund.org Foundation
• 11.15 Shell