유럽의 카톤 보드 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the europe cartonboard market size is projected to be USD 13.17 billion in 2025, USD 13.63 billion in 2026, and reach USD 16.42 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 3.79% from 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Product Grade (Solid Bleached Board, Solid Unbleached Board, Folding Boxboard, White-Lined Chipboard, Liquid Packaging Board, and Food Service Board), Packaging Format (Folding Cartons, Liquid Packaging, Sleeve and Tray, and More), End-User Industry (Food, Beverage, and More), and Geography (Germany, United Kingdom, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Europe Cartonboard Market Trends and Insights

Plastic-To-Fiber Substitution Under PPWR And SUPD

Regulation (EU) 2025/40 entered into force on February 11, 2025, and will apply across all 27 EU member states from August 12, 2026, giving the Europe cartonboard market one common packaging rulebook across the region. The regulation goes beyond the earlier directive model by tying design-for-recycling criteria, recycled-content obligations, and EPR fee modulation directly to packaging choices that brand owners cannot easily delay. In practical terms, this places greater pressure to redesign complex plastic formats, while many carton formats already meet recyclability expectations under the new framework. Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG has already positioned fiber-based materials as transition tools for customers working through packaging change programs, showing how regulation is becoming part of the sales process in the Europe cartonboard market. Pro Carton found in its 2026 consumer survey that 53% of European respondents cited non-recyclable packaging as a reason for brand switching, which is pushing retailer specifications and brand-owner timelines in the same direction.

Recyclable Shelf-Ready Packs In Food Retail

Food retail packaging programs in Germany, France, and the United Kingdom are moving shelf-ready formats toward recyclable mono-material carton solutions, turning sustainability from a brand preference into a commercial listing condition in more categories. This matters because EPR fee modulation increasingly rewards recyclable packaging, so the financial case for carton conversion now sits alongside the merchandising case, making decisions easier to justify internally. The effect supports folding boxboard demand because shelf-ready packs favor formats that print well, convert efficiently, and remain easy to recycle even when basis weights are reduced. Smurfit Westrock's 2026 Innovation Event in the Netherlands brought together more than 450 customers and introduced 3 AI-based packaging design tools that demonstrate how digital development is shortening customization cycles for shelf-ready packaging. The same logic now extends to e-commerce secondary packaging, where brands want one cartonboard format that can move from shelf display to last-mile shipment with minimal redesign and a clearer sustainability claim.

Energy And Pulp Cost Volatility, Especially In Recycled Grades

Energy and fiber costs remained the most immediate operating challenge for producers in 2026, and the European cartonboard market felt that pressure most sharply in grades with less protection from integrated fiber and energy systems. Billerud stated in its Q4 2025 results that overcapacity in cartonboard and white top kraftliner in Region Europe kept demand subdued and price pressure visible into Q1 2026, limiting mills' ability to recover higher input costs through pricing. That combination of loose supply and volatile utilities is especially difficult for recycled-board producers because they have less margin room when market conditions turn unstable. It also changes converter purchasing behavior, with buyers placing more value on contract stability and supply consistency when spot pricing becomes harder to read. Until capacity utilization improves more clearly, margin recovery in the European cartonboard market is likely to remain uneven across grades and producer types.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Pharmaceutical Serialization And Tamper-Evident Cartons
2. Premium Beauty And Personal Care Carton Upgrading
3. Reuse And Packaging-Minimization Rules Capping Unit Growth

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Folding boxboard held 33.91% of the European cartonboard market share in 2025, making it the largest product grade because it can serve food, pharmaceutical, and cosmetics applications through a single broad converting base. Its leading position also reflects its compatibility with offset, digital, and flexographic printing, enabling the grade to move from everyday grocery packaging into higher-value retail presentation formats with minimal friction. That scale is supported by established converter infrastructure and by shelf-ready retail specifications that already favor folding boxboard across much of the region. Stora Enso's EUR 1 billion (USD 1.08 billion) Oulu line in Finland added 750,000 tonnes of annual capacity, and Metsa Board's EUR 210 million (USD 227 million) Husum expansion added 200,000 tonnes annually, which has weighed on near-term price recovery while new supply is still being absorbed. Solid bleached board continues to occupy the premium tier in food service, pharmaceutical packaging, and luxury beauty work, while solid unbleached board remains more niche in industrial and heavy-duty uses, and food service board is moving through PFAS-free reformulation ahead of the August 2026 compliance date.

Liquid packaging board is projected to expand at a 5.17% CAGR from 2026 to 2031, making it the fastest-growing product grade in the European cartonboard market. Tetra Pak and Sterilgarda Alimenti launched a 1-liter aseptic carton with a paper-based barrier in April 2026, providing the first commercial industrial-scale proof point for aluminum-free carton technology. Tetra Pak also committed EUR 60 million (USD 65 million) to a paper-based barrier pilot plant in Lund, Sweden, as part of its plan to invest EUR 100 million (USD 109 million) annually through 2030 in sustainable packaging development, underscoring how quickly the liquid carton technology frontier is advancing. Producers are also upgrading core liquid board assets to improve efficiency, quality control, and product flexibility as demand shifts toward more paper-intensive beverage formats. White-lined chipboard still serves price-sensitive secondary packaging, but its relative position is weaker when energy costs and cost visibility become less stable across the European cartonboard market.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Product Grade
  • Solid Bleached Board
  • Solid Unbleached Board
  • Folding Boxboard
  • White-Lined Chipboard
  • Liquid Packaging Board
  • Food Service Board
• By Packaging Format
  • Folding Cartons
  • Liquid Packaging
  • Sleeve and Tray
  • Other Packaging Formats (Cups, Foodservice Containers)
• By End-User Industry
  • Food
  • Beverage
  • Pharmaceutical and Healthcare
  • Tobacco
  • Cosmetics and Toiletries
  • Other End-User Industries (Toy, Apparel, Automotive, Household, Electrical, Foodservice)
• By Country
  • Germany
  • United Kingdom
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Metsa Board Corporation
2. Stora Enso Oyj
3. Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG
4. Billerud Aktiebolag
5. Sappi Limited
6. RDM Group S.p.A.
7. WEIG-Karton GmbH & Co. KG
8. Iggesund Paperboard AB
9. Kotkamills Oy
10. Pankaboard Oy
11. Graphic Packaging International, LLC
12. Smurfit Westrock plc
13. Mondi plc
14. Van Genechten Packaging NV
15. Edelmann Group GmbH
16. Tetra Pak International S.A.
17. SIG Group AG
18. Elopak ASA

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Plastic-to-Fiber Substitution Under PPWR and SUPD
  • 4.2.2 Recyclable Shelf-Ready Packs in Food Retail
  • 4.2.3 Pharmaceutical Serialization and Tamper-Evident Cartons
  • 4.2.4 Premium Beauty and Personal Care Carton Upgrading
  • 4.2.5 QR-Enabled Compliance and Digital Labeling on Pack
  • 4.2.6 PFAS-Free Barrier Migration in Food Service Board
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Energy and Pulp Cost Volatility, Especially in Recycled Grades
  • 4.3.2 Reuse and Packaging-Minimization Rules Capping Unit Growth
  • 4.3.3 Compliance Data Burden for Small and Mid-Sized Converters
  • 4.3.4 Lightweighting Reducing Tonnes Faster Than Unit Demand
• 4.4 Industry Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Market
• 4.6 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.7 Technological Outlook
• 4.8 Trade Flow and Capacity Analysis
• 4.9 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.9.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.9.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.9.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.9.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.9.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Product Grade
  • 5.1.1 Solid Bleached Board
  • 5.1.2 Solid Unbleached Board
  • 5.1.3 Folding Boxboard
  • 5.1.4 White-Lined Chipboard
  • 5.1.5 Liquid Packaging Board
  • 5.1.6 Food Service Board
• 5.2 By Packaging Format
  • 5.2.1 Folding Cartons
  • 5.2.2 Liquid Packaging
  • 5.2.3 Sleeve and Tray
  • 5.2.4 Other Packaging Formats (Cups, Foodservice Containers)
• 5.3 By End-User Industry
  • 5.3.1 Food
  • 5.3.2 Beverage
  • 5.3.3 Pharmaceutical and Healthcare
  • 5.3.4 Tobacco
  • 5.3.5 Cosmetics and Toiletries
  • 5.3.6 Other End-User Industries (Toy, Apparel, Automotive, Household, Electrical, Foodservice)
• 5.4 By Country
  • 5.4.1 Germany
  • 5.4.2 United Kingdom
  • 5.4.3 France
  • 5.4.4 Italy
  • 5.4.5 Spain
  • 5.4.6 Rest of Europe

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Metsa Board Corporation
  • 6.4.2 Stora Enso Oyj
  • 6.4.3 Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG
  • 6.4.4 Billerud Aktiebolag
  • 6.4.5 Sappi Limited
  • 6.4.6 RDM Group S.p.A.
  • 6.4.7 WEIG-Karton GmbH & Co. KG
  • 6.4.8 Iggesund Paperboard AB
  • 6.4.9 Kotkamills Oy
  • 6.4.10 Pankaboard Oy
  • 6.4.11 Graphic Packaging International, LLC
  • 6.4.12 Smurfit Westrock plc
  • 6.4.13 Mondi plc
  • 6.4.14 Van Genechten Packaging NV
  • 6.4.15 Edelmann Group GmbH
  • 6.4.16 Tetra Pak International S.A.
  • 6.4.17 SIG Group AG
  • 6.4.18 Elopak ASA

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment